THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of July 4, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published July 6, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 28 June 2026 through Saturday 4 July 2026

Published: Monday 6 July 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-06-28/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 28 June 2026 and Saturday 4 July 2026, 169 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Tacoma ran the least settled - 66.7% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 66.7% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was ONE MAESTRO 0086 at Los Angeles: ERD +18.5d and CY Cut +15.6d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

PortVessels this week% High% Late-stageDominant directionPort stability
USTIW Tacoma666.7%66.7%MixedHigh
USSAV Savannah2846.4%46.4%MixedElevated
USEWR Newark1723.5%23.5%Late-biasedElevated
USLAX Los Angeles1717.6%23.5%Late-biasedElevated
USHOU Houston3013.3%20.0%MixedElevated
USSEA Seattle812.5%25.0%Late-biasedModerate
USORF Norfolk287.1%14.3%MixedModerate
USOAK Oakland166.2%50.0%MixedElevated
USLGB Long Beach110.0%18.2%MixedElevated
USNYC New York80.0%12.5%MixedStable

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


Terminal Volatility Signals (Safe-to-Gate leading layer)

Three forward-looking signal layers, read together with the per-port tables below. They answer the exporter's core question - is this terminal's receiving window stable enough to commit dropoff, or is pressure building that will move it?

PortQuarterly volatilityRevision-density early-warningConvergence pressure (vessels on shared dates)Upstream (previous-port) pressure
Tacoma (USTIW)Elevated (#2), Elevated (#3)-up to 3 vessels (Moderate)19 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~122h
Savannah (USSAV)Moderate (#5), Stable (#21)-8 vessels converged (High); 33% late-stagen/a (West-Coast coverage)
Newark (USEWR)Moderate (#10), Stable (#23)-up to 4 vessels (Moderate)n/a (West-Coast coverage)
Los Angeles (USLAX)High (#1), Elevated (#4)-up to 4 vessels (Moderate)59 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~233h · PRE-CASCADE
Houston (USHOU)Moderate (#8), Moderate (#9)-7 vessels converged (High); 7% late-stagen/a (West-Coast coverage)
Seattle (USSEA)Moderate (#13), Stable (#22)-up to 3 vessels (Moderate)38 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~295h
Norfolk (USORF)Moderate (#12), Stable (#18)-5 vessels converged (High); 20% late-stagen/a (West-Coast coverage)
Oakland (USOAK)Moderate (#11), Stable (#15)-up to 4 vessels (Moderate)127 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~189h
Long Beach (USLGB)Moderate (#6), Stable (#17)-up to 4 vessels (Moderate)92 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~368h
New York (USNYC)Moderate (#7), Stable (#16)-6 vessels converged (High); 42% late-stagen/a (West-Coast coverage)

How to read this. Quarterly volatility is the terminal's standing reliability tier (the neutral, published Terminal Volatility Index). Revision-density early-warning flags a terminal running sustained above its own recent baseline - a change signal, so a consistently busy terminal shows pressure through convergence rather than here. Convergence pressure counts vessels bunching onto shared receiving dates before the revisions fire - a capacity signal that precedes the cascade. Upstream pressure (West-Coast transpacific only) flags vessels already running behind at their previous port, the earliest warning that a US receiving window will move. None of these is a verdict; they tell you where to tighten the commit and rebuild contingency.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Tacoma: 66.7% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.
  • Oakland: 50.0% late-stage movement across 16 vessels.
  • Savannah: 46.4% late-stage movement across 28 vessels.
  • Seattle: 25.0% late-stage movement across 8 vessels.
  • Newark: 23.5% late-stage movement across 17 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Tacoma · USTIW · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
YM MASCULINITY · 0106 · ONEY/106WERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 17
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +12.3d
CY +9.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedHigh
HMM MIR · 0021 · ONEY/021WERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 17
-> ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD -0.3d
CY +7.3d
Yes (inside 24h)MixedHigh
VIENNA EXPRESS · 627W · MAEU/WC4ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jul 2
ERD +7.0d
CY +3.3d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedHigh
CHARLOTTE SCHULTE · 612 · ONEY/PN1ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD -3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
EVER EAGLE · 0479-196W · EGLV/Transpacific Northwest Service(TPN)ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
YM WEALTH · 0191 · ONEY/191WERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Savannah · USSAV · 28 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
ZIM PEARL · 10W · ZIMU/MEMERALDERD Jun 12 | CY Cut Jun 18
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Late expansionHigh
MSC YOKOHAMA · IU626 · MSCU/INDUSERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h)Late expansionElevated
MSC NOA · IV620 · MSCU/INDUS2ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 20
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +5.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Late expansionHigh
HYUNDAI EARTH · 055W · ONEY/PEC1ERD Jun 14 | CY Cut Jun 20
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Late expansionHigh
COSCO FAITH · 076W · COSU/OALP1ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 27
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Late expansionHigh
EVER FOREVER · 037W · EGLV/OAAWE4ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h)Late expansionElevated
TUCAPEL · 6220 · HLCU/INDAMEXERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h)Late expansionElevated
MSC AGAMEMNON · MG623 · MSCU/MMEDGULFERD Jun 27 | CY Cut Jul 3
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD -3.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
HMM SAPPHIRE · 011W · HDMU/PEC2ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftHigh
ONE EAGLE · 038W · ONEY/PEC3ERD Jun 27 | CY Cut Jul 3
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
ZIM THAILAND · 16W · ZIMU/MEMERALDERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 27
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MAERSK IDAHO · 626E · MAEU/GTEXERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 27
ERD -1.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MSC DURBAN IV · FE626 · MSCU/MEAGLEERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 27
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MAERSK SKARSTIND · 626W · MAEU/GTP11US1ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MSC LUANDA VIII · MZ625 · MSCU/EMUSAERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftHigh
GSL CHRISTEN · 625E · MAEU/GTA12AL6ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
HONG KONG EXPRESS · 624W · HLCU/GTP16US4ERD Jun 14 | CY Cut Jun 20
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MSC LISA · UF626 · MSCU/MUSWASAERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
NORDAMELIA · RPMAS · CMDU/RTWSBERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 27
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
ONE HAWK · 035W · ONEY/PEC3ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftHigh
OOCL TOKYO · 144E · OOLU/TA1AL6ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
ANTWERPEN EXPRESS · 625W · HLCU/GTP16US4ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 27
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
CMA CGM PREGOLIA · RPLPN · CMDU/RTWNBERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MARGARETE SCHULTE · 627S · MAEU/SAEERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC AGAMEMNON VIII · MG623 · MSCU/MMEDGULFERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC GHANA · MG623 · MSCU/MMEDGULFERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
TRITON · 047W · EGLV/OAAUEERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
YANTIAN EXPRESS · 626E · HLCU/GTA2AL3ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Newark · USEWR · 17 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
MSC BRASILIA VII · 626W · MSCU/ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
KUALA LUMPUR EXPRESS · 627W · MAEU/712ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MARATHOPOLIS · 627E · MAEU/812ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
PORT EVERGLADES EXPRESS · 627S · MAEU/U7JERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 627E · MAEU/810ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
BREMEN · 627R · MSCU/ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GSL CHRISTEL ELISABETH · 627E · MAEU/AL6ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK MONTE ALEGRE · 627S · MAEU/AL6ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK MONTE VERDE · 624S · MAEU/AL6ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC CAROLINA · 625A · MSCU/ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC FAIRFIELD · 627E · MSCU/ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC LUCY · 626R · MSCU/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC RESILIENT III · 624R · MSCU/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC ROSARIA · 627A · MSCU/ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
PRAGUE EXPRESS · 2534W · HLCU/AL5ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SAN FELIX · 625W · MAEU/AL6ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
TANGIER EXPRESS · 627W · MAEU/716ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 17 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
ONE MAESTRO · 0086 · ONEY/086WERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +18.5d
CY +15.6d
Yes (inside 72h)CompressedHigh
CMA CGM MANTA RAY · 0GVMXW1MA · CMDU/EXXERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedHigh
PRESIDENT CARTER · 0DBOMW1MA · CMDU/EX1APLERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Late expansionHigh
EVER MOST · 1457-009W · EGLV/ERD Jun 12 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 22
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h)CompressedElevated
MAERSK YELLOWSTONE · 0Y1FJS1MA · MAEU/PCXERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jul 2
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jul 2
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.2d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
APL DUBLIN · 0M703W1MA · CMDU/MTEERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
EVER MAGUS · 1458-007W · EGLV/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GUSTAV MAERSK · 626W · MAEU/ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
HMM RUBY · 013W · ONEY/ERD Jun 12 | CY Cut Jun 18
-> ERD Jun 12 | CY Cut Jun 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
HMM RUBY · 0013 · HY/013WERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK ALGOL · 627W · MAEU/ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK MAMMOTH · 0Y1M5S1MA · MAEU/PCXERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MOL PROFICIENCY · 254W · ONEY/VSEERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
NYK VESTA · 0094 · ONEY/094WERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
ONE HUMBER · 0103 · ONEY/103WERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
REN JIAN 20 · 018W · ONEY/EXWERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
ZIM ALBATROSS · 015W · ZIMU/ZX2ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Houston · USHOU · 30 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
TIANJIN · 61W · ZIMU/LONESTARERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 19
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h)Late expansionElevated
TIANJIN · 61W · ZIMU/LONESTARERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 19
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h)Late expansionElevated
MSC YORK VII · IV625R · MSCU/INDUSAERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +5.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedHigh
MSC YORK VII · IV625R · MSCU/INDUSAERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +5.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedHigh
CONTI ANNAPURNA · 022W · ONEY/EC4ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +5.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
CONTI ANNAPURNA · 022W · ONEY/EC4ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +5.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MAERSK SANA · 626W · MAEU/TP15ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
ERD -4.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MAERSK SANA · 626W · MAEU/TP15ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
ERD -4.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MAERSK KANSAS · 627E · MAEU/AL2ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD -1.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MAERSK KANSAS · 627E · MAEU/AL2ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD -1.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MSC EXPRESS III · LE626A · MSCU/GOXERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MSC EXPRESS III · LE626A · MSCU/GOXERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MSC TIANSHAN · MG625E · MSCU/MEDGULFERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MSC TIANSHAN · MG625E · MSCU/MEDGULFERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MAERSK CHAMBAL · 626S · MAEU/SCSERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MAERSK CHAMBAL · 626S · MAEU/SCSERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
COSCO VIETNAM · 108W · COSU/GMEERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
COSCO VIETNAM · 108W · COSU/GMEERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
HERMANN SCHULTE · NH626R · MSCU/MEX GULFERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
HERMANN SCHULTE · NH626R · MSCU/MEX GULFERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
AIAS · 0YKDGS1MA · CMDU/YUKAERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
AIAS · 0YKDGS1MA · CMDU/YUKAERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
CMA CGM SAMBHAR · 0GBG2S1MA · CMDU/BRAZEXERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
CMA CGM SAMBHAR · 0GBG2S1MA · CMDU/BRAZEXERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK NANSHA · 627W · MSCU/TP15ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK NANSHA · 627W · MSCU/TP15ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SEASPAN EMISSARY · 625E · HLCU/MGXERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SEASPAN EMISSARY · 625E · HLCU/MGXERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
YM MODERATION · 083W · ONEY/EC4ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
YM MODERATION · 083W · ONEY/EC4ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Seattle · USSEA · 8 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
CMA CGM BYBLOS · 0TNUO · CMDU/CPNWERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 18
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftHigh
CMA CGM SHANGHAI · 0TNIQ · CMDU/CPNWERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
MSC IVANA · 626R · MSCU/CHINOOKERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
COSCO SANTOS · 100E · COSU/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK YOSEMITE · 627S · MAEU/ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC BOSTON · 627R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESSERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
OOCL SEATTLE · 043W · OOLU/PNW1ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SM TIANJIN · 2604W · SMC/ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Norfolk · USORF · 28 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
MSC LUCY · MZ626R · MSCU/EMUSAERD Jun 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftHigh
MSC GIOVANNA VII · IV621A · MSCU/INDXERD Jun 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
TUCAPEL · 6220 · HLCU/TPIERD Jun 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
EVER MAST · 1358W · EGLV/LP2ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
EVER MACRO · 1359W · EGLV/LP2ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MSC CANDICE · MZ631R · MSCU/EMUSAERD Jul 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jul 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
HMM SAPPHIRE · 011W · HDMU/EC2ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedElevated
MSC VITTORIA · GU626E · MSCU/AMERICAERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
ONE SATISFACTION · 003E · ONEY/TA2ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
ATLANTIC SEA · ATE7126 · ACLU/ACL-AERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MSC DOMNA X · NO626E · MSCU/NEUSEC2ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MSC NIGERIA · NN625A · MSCU/BLTERD Jun 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
WAN HAI A08 · W016 · WHLC/AA7ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
X PRESS ANTLIA · 017E · COSU/AL8ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 627E · HLCU/TEXERD Jun 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 427E · CCBZ/BALERD Jun 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GSL C ELISABETH · 627E · MAEU/TA3ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GSL ELENI · 626E · MAEU/AL6ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK GARONNE · 624W · MAEU/801ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK IOWA · 626E · MAEU/801ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MAERSK PITTSBURGH · 625E · MAEU/MECLERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC AUDREY · FD623E · MSCU/DRAGONERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC GABON · NO625E · MSCU/NEUSEC2ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
OOCL TOKYO · 144E · OOLU/AMERIGOERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
POLAR BRASIL · 627S · MAEU/NAEERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
RICHMOND EXPRESS II · 938W · JRBU/64EXERD Jun 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SOUTHAMPTON EXPRESS · 626W · HLCU/US4ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
TSINGTAO EXPRESS · 626W · HLCU/US2ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Oakland · USOAK · 16 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
EVER LOGIC · 1223-085W · EGLV/ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +6.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MSC TAYLOR · 626S · MSCU/SENTOSAERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 18
-> ERD Jun 15 | CY Cut Jun 23
ERD -3.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h)MixedElevated
EVER MOST · 1457-009W · EGLV/Asia-U.S. Southwest Coast Express Service(HTW)ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
MSC MELATILDE · 627S · MSCU/SENTOSAERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD -2.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
WAN HAI A01 · 018W · WHLC/ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedElevated
PRESIDENT MONROE · 0DBOKW1MA · CMDU/EX1APLERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftHigh
MAERSK YELLOWSTONE · 626S · MAEU/067ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
PRESIDENT GRANT · 0DBOIW1MA · CMDU/EX1APLERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 23
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
NPDL CALIFORNIA · 2611S · NPD/ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
APL DANUBE · 0M701 · APL/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GEORGE III · 102W · HLCU/ERD Jun 11 | CY Cut Jun 17
-> ERD Jun 11 | CY Cut Jun 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
GUSTAV MAERSK · 626W · MAEU/708ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
HMM RUBY · 013W · HDMU/ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
ONE FRIENDSHIP · 012W · ONEY/MS2ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
WAN HAI A09 · 016W · WHLC/ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
Wan Hai 511 · 110W · WHLC/PS8ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

Long Beach · USLGB · 11 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
COSCO AFRICA · 102 · COSU/CENERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 22
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +6.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
XIN FEI ZHOU · 110 · COSU/PSXERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 19
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 23
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftElevated
OOCL ROTTERDAM · 164 · OOLU/PSXERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 30
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
MSC FAITH · 626S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICEERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)Moderate driftElevated
MSC MELATILDE · 627S · MSCU/SENTOSAERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 23
-> ERD Jun 17 | CY Cut Jun 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h)CompressedElevated
CAPE TAINARO · 621A · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICEERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC ELIANA · 625R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESSERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 25 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC LYSE V · 627S · MSCU/PEARLERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
MSC MELATILDE · FV627S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICEERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
-> ERD Jun 18 | CY Cut Jun 24
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
OOCL DAFFODIL · 005 · OOLU/PVCSERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
SEALAND BALBOA · 627S · MAEU/ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
-> ERD Jun 26 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

New York · USNYC · 8 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/ServiceCRW (Original -> Actual)ShiftLate?OutcomeStability
ONE IBIS · 037 · ONEY/EC2ERD Jun 16 | CY Cut Jun 21
-> ERD Jun 22 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +6.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h)CompressedElevated
CMA CGM SURABAYA · 627E/W · CMDU/CAGMLERD Jun 28 | CY Cut Jul 3
-> ERD Jun 28 | CY Cut Jul 1
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.7d
Yes (inside 72h)CompressedElevated
ONE MUNCHEN · 044 · ONEY/EC3 Single call (discharge and load)ERD Jun 24 | CY Cut Jun 29
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 28
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 627E/W · CMDU/CAGMLERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
CMA CGM GREEN · 627E/W · CMDU/RTWPANERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 30
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
CMA CGM KAILAS · 625E/W · CMDU/CAGMLERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 21 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h)Moderate driftModerate
MSC Giovanna VII · IV621A · MSCU/INDUSAERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable
YM TOGETHER · 022 · YMLU/EC1ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 25
-> ERD Jun 23 | CY Cut Jun 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h)StableStable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MAEU/TP15: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • ZIMU/MEMERALD: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • ONEY/PEC3: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
  • CMDU/EX1APL: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Tacoma (USTIW) warrants extra buffer this week. 66.7% of vessels classified High and 66.7% showed late-stage movement across 6 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 5 July 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.