THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of May 9, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published May 11, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 3 May 2026 through Saturday 9 May 2026

Published: Monday 11 May 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-05-03/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 3 May 2026 and Saturday 9 May 2026, 175 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 69.2% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 69.2% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was EDISON 1TUHTW1MA at Los Angeles: ERD +0.0d and CY Cut -14.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 39 69.2% 69.2% Mixed High
USEWR Newark 18 22.2% 44.4% Mixed Elevated
USTIW Tacoma 5 20.0% 20.0% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 33 18.2% 21.2% Mixed Elevated
USLAX Los Angeles 17 17.6% 17.6% Mixed Elevated
USSEA Seattle 6 16.7% 33.3% Mixed Elevated
USHOU Houston 24 16.7% 8.3% Mixed Elevated
USLGB Long Beach 9 11.1% 33.3% Late-biased Elevated
USOAK Oakland 14 7.1% 35.7% Mixed Elevated
USNYC New York 10 0.0% 10.0% Mixed Moderate

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Savannah: 69.2% late-stage movement across 39 vessels.
  • Newark: 44.4% late-stage movement across 18 vessels.
  • Oakland: 35.7% late-stage movement across 14 vessels.
  • Seattle: 33.3% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 33.3% late-stage movement across 9 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 39 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC NIOVI VIII · MG614 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Apr 18 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +13.0d
CY +13.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC UTMOST VIII · NO616 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +13.0d
CY +13.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ONE MILLAU · 046W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +11.0d
CY +12.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC NURYA G · FE617 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 25
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ONE MANEUVER · 081E · ONEY/TA1AL6 ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 25
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
KAAN KALKAVAN · USC2E · TRKU/TURKON ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ONE COLUMBA · 526W · ONEY/PEC2 ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
OOCL GUANGZHOU · 175E · OOLU/EMA ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC KIM · UF616 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 25
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
TAURUS · 041W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ZIM GEMINI · 9W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 25
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
BREMEN · MZ619 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 9
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD -4.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC NAGOYA V · UF617 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC DORADO VIII · IU618 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC ARICA · IV611 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
EVER FAST · 029W · EGLV/OAAWE4 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
JADE I · 7W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM ENDURANCE · MRL0E · CMDU/TA1AL6 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
BREMEN EXPRESS · 6212 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
KINGSTON · 020E · ONEY/EMA ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MOL CHARISMA · 235W · ONEY/PEC1 ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
NAGOYA EXPRESS · 6211 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM MOUNT DENALI · 12W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM PHOENIX · LBM2E · CMDU/OAONEAT1 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM WHITE · RPLUS · CMDU/RTWSB ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
AIN SNAN EXPRESS · 617W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
AL MANAMAH · 618E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ERVING · TUIJN · CMDU/OAAWE3 ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
GSL NICOLETTA · 617E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK IDAHO · 618E · MAEU/GTEX ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC LUCY · MZ615 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
OOCL MAGNOLIA · 004W · OOLU/OALP2 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ARTEMIS · PH618 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM ABU DHABI · RPLAN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SINGAPORE · 619W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARGARETE SCHULTE · 619S · MAEU/SAE ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MONTSERRAT III · FE618 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR COSTA RICA · 619S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEABOARD GARDENIA · 00048 · SMLU/SMJS ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 18 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 619E · MAEU/810 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC VANCOUVER · 619A · MSCU/ ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
COLOMBO EXPRESS · 619W · MAEU/712 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 4
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC FATMA · FD613E · MSCU/ ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC NAGOYA V · 619R · MSCU/ ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC SHANELLE V · 619R · MSCU/ ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
CCNI ANGOL · 617W · MAEU/711 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK MONTE OLIVIA · 616S · MAEU/84D ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
PORTO GERMENO · 619E · MAEU/803 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
AMERICA · 618E · MSCU/ ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ATLANTIC STAR · 7026 · ACLU/ ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
BASLE EXPRESS · 619W · MAEU/AL6 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
BSG BAHAMAS · 619S · MAEU/U7J ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
KANDLA EXPRESS · 618W · MAEU/AL6 ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LARS MAERSK · 616W · MAEU/84W ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC SAGITTA III · 613R · MSCU/ ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC STACEY · 614E · MSCU/ ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI A18 · W005 · HLCU/AL5 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 5 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE HUMBER · 0102 · ONEY/102W ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +1.7d
CY +6.3d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER EAGLE · 0159-195W · EGLV/ANP ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK SARNIA · 619W · MAEU/WC4 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ONE MATRIX · 184 · ONEY/PN3 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM MASCULINITY · 105 · YMLU/PN1 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 33 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE MANEUVER · 081E · ONEY/AMERIGO ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +12.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MAERSK SEBAROK · 615E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +10.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
ZIM CHINA · 051E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +9.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC DORADO VIII · IV611A · MSCU/IND ERD Apr 18 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
YM TRUST · 104W · YMLU/EC1 ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
ONE GRUS · 030W · ONEY/EC3 ERD May 2 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
WAN HAI A15 · W008 · WHLC/AA7 ERD Apr 18 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
AL MANAMAH · 618E · HLCU/AL3 ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC FLORENTINA · NO618E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
KAAN KALKAVAN · 0USC2E1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC CHIARA X · GU617E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MARIAGRAZIA · FD611E · MSCU/DRAGON ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM ENDURANCE · 0MRL0E1 · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
KANDLA EXPRESS · 618W · HLCU/US2 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OOCL FRANCE · 069W · OOLU/LP1 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM J. ADAMS · 1TUIRN1 · CMDU/LP3 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
CMA CGM TANCREDI · 0XRAOW1 · CMDU/CBX ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26419N · CCBZ/BAL ERD May 1 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC NAGOYA V · MZ619R · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
ONE COLUMBA · 526W · ONEY/EC2 ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 6
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ATLANTIC SAIL · ATS6326 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
BREMEN EXPRESS · 6213 · HLCU/TPI ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC BASEL V · UA618A · MSCU/MD ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC MEXICO V · IU618R · MSCU/INDX ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
PORTO GERMENO · 619E · MAEU/TA3 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
KINGSTON · 020E · ONEY/AL8 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MADRID EXPRESS · 618W · HLCU/US4 ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK CHILKA · 618E · MAEU/AL6 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK IOWA · 616W · MAEU/801 ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 25 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ARICA · IV610A · MSCU/IND ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC SHANELLE V · UA617A · MSCU/MD ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR COSTA RICA · 619S · MAEU/NAE ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM MOUNT BLANC · 012W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 17 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EDISON · 1TUHTW1MA · CMDU/CJX ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY -14.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
PRESIDENT MONROE · 0DBO6W1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD -8.0d
CY -7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ONE HAMBURG · 0084 · ONEY/084W ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +6.0d
CY +5.4d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
EVER MAGUS · 1449-006W · EGLV/ ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +5.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM MANTA RAY · 0GVMHW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
ERD -4.0d
CY +2.7d
No (outside 72h) Mixed Elevated
CMA CGM SHANGHAI · 0P50LW1MA · CMDU/LP1 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER FUTURE · 1224W · CMDU/HBB ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER LOGIC · 1216W · CMDU/ ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER MAGNA · 1450-004W · EGLV/ ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
GUSTAV MAERSK · 619W · MAEU/708 ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
-> ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM TOPAZ · 011W · ONEY/PS6 ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM TURQUOISE · 010W · ONEY/PS6 ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 26
-> ERD Jun 19 | CY Cut Jun 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HTW7 · 1450-023W · EGLV/ ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK KINLOSS · 618W · MAEU/707 ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
-> ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NYK REMUS · 083E · ONEY/AL5 ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE COMMITMENT · 0074 · ONEY/074W ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9
-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PELICAN I · 012W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC HORTENSE · 618R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 27
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Moderate
CATHERINE C · 618R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
SUVA CHIEF · 004W · QWJ/ ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM BYBLOS · 0TNIA · CMDU/CPNW ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL SAN FRANCISCO · 195W · OOLU/PNW1 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SM QINGDAO · 2603W · SMC/ ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 24 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
GSL CHRISTEN · 618W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 19
ERD -2.0d
CY -8.8d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
GSL CHRISTEN · 618W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 19
ERD -2.0d
CY -8.8d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MSC DOUALA VIII · IV617R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC DOUALA VIII · IV617R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Apr 19 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC JAMBOREE IX · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +6.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC JAMBOREE IX · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +6.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK TENNESSEE · 619E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MAERSK TENNESSEE · 619E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC GHANA · MG618E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC GHANA · MG618E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM FRANCOISE SAGAN · 1GBSWS1MA · CMDU/BRAZEX ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM FRANCOISE SAGAN · 1GBSWS1MA · CMDU/BRAZEX ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
GSL SOFIA · 619W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
GSL SOFIA · 619W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK CHAMBAL · 618S · MAEU/SCS ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK CHAMBAL · 618S · MAEU/SCS ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK NEW DELHI · 619S · MSCU/GOX ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK NEW DELHI · 619S · MSCU/GOX ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MOL CELEBRATION · 104W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MOL CELEBRATION · 104W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NORTHERN JUVENILE · 0PGNEW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NORTHERN JUVENILE · 0PGNEW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL GENOA · 081W · OOLU/GME ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL GENOA · 081W · OOLU/GME ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 9 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
COSCO EUROPE · 112W · COSU/ ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
OOCL POLAND · 058 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 22 | CY Cut Apr 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING YANGPU · 006 · COSU/PVCS ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
AS PALINA · 619S · MAEU/U8E ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM SEATTLE · 617 · ANL/PANZ ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MATE · 618 · MAEU/PANZ ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC CAMILLE · 618S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC IVANA · 618S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL LONDON · 122 · OOLU/PSX ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 14 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
GEORGE III · 098W · HLCU/ ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER MAGUS · 1449-006W · EGLV/HTW ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.5d
CY +4.2d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
EDISON · 1TUHP · CMDU/CJX ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC CAMILLE · 618S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
GUSTAV MAERSK · 619W · MAEU/708 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
PRESIDENT GRANT · 0DBO4W1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
APL SENTOSA · 1TUI1 · APL/ ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER FEAT · 1216-031W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER LEADING · 1216-083W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM GAON · 022W · HDMU/ ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM TURQUOISE · 009W · HDMU/ ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MATE · 618S · SKRC/ ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC DEILA · 617S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLYNESIA · 2608S · PLL/ ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 10 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC SOFIA CELESTE · IV613A · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MIEKE SCHULTE · 618E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +5.3d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM J. ADAMS · 1TUIRN1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM KAILAS · 618E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SC MONTREAL · 618E/W · CMDU/AMERXL ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Agios Dimitrios · IU617R · MSCU/INDUS EXPRESS ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE SATISFACTION · 002 · ONEY/LIBERTY BRIDGE/ AT1 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE SPRINTER · 004W · ONEY/EC2 ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL France · 069W · COSU/ ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM TRUST · 104 · YMLU/EC1 ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MSCU/MEDGULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/MUSWASA: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • ZIMU/MEMERALD: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • HLCU/INDAMEX: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/EMUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 69.2% of vessels classified High and 69.2% showed late-stage movement across 39 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 10 May 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.