THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of April 25, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published April 27, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 19 April 2026 through Saturday 25 April 2026

Published: Monday 27 April 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-04-19/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 19 April 2026 and Saturday 25 April 2026, 176 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 54.3% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 51.4% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was COSCO PORTUGAL 081 at Long Beach: ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +20.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 35 54.3% 51.4% Mixed Elevated
USTIW Tacoma 6 50.0% 33.3% Mixed Elevated
USLAX Los Angeles 11 36.4% 27.3% Mixed Elevated
USNYC New York 6 33.3% 50.0% Mixed Elevated
USHOU Houston 36 22.2% 22.2% Mixed Elevated
USLGB Long Beach 12 16.7% 41.7% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 31 16.1% 32.3% Mixed Elevated
USOAK Oakland 14 14.3% 42.9% Mixed High
USEWR Newark 18 11.1% 22.2% Late-biased Moderate
USSEA Seattle 7 0.0% 14.3% Late-biased Stable

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Savannah: 51.4% late-stage movement across 35 vessels.
  • New York: 50.0% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.
  • Oakland: 42.9% late-stage movement across 14 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 41.7% late-stage movement across 12 vessels.
  • Tacoma: 33.3% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 35 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE MANCHESTER · 045W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +18.0d
CY +18.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
SEABOARD GARDENIA · 00046 · SMLU/SMJS ERD Mar 31 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
CARMEL I · 34E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 8
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +9.0d
CY +9.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM ATLANTIC · 40E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +8.0d
CY +8.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MUKADDES KALKAVAN · USBQE · TRKU/TURKON ERD Apr 3 | CY Cut Apr 9
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ONE AQUILA · 031W · ONEY/PEC2 ERD Apr 4 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC SUAPE VII · NO615 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC MARINA · IU617 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
COSCO SHIPPING CAMELLIA · 031W · COSU/OALP1 ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
ONE WREN · 029W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 613E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC INGRID · MZ616 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
TEMPANOS · 2521W · HLCU/AA7 ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM RIMBAUD · INM6E · CMDU/INDAMEX2 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
AGIOS DIMITRIOS · IU617 · MSCU/INDUS ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC JASPER VIII · MG611 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC SINES R · FE616 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM WILMINGTON · 24W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM ATTILA · XRAIW · CMDU/CBX ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC JULIANA III · PH616 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER FORWARD · 029W · EGLV/OAAWE4 ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TAIPEI TRIUMPH · 038W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM PREGOLIA · RPLMS · CMDU/RTWSB ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
LEVERKUSEN EXPRESS · 615W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC MOMBASA · MZ614 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CCNI ANGOL · 617W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
KARLSKRONA · IV610 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEBAROK · 615E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SERANGOON · 614E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARIUS · 6510 · MARFRET USA INC/RTWNB ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC GHANA · MG612 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC NERISSA V · NO616 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 617S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEASPAN LIMA · 617S · MAEU/SAE ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SUAPE EXPRESS · 615E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE CYGNUS · 0023 · ONEY/023W ERD Apr 1 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +8.0d
CY +15.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
BUDAPEST EXPRESS · 617W · MAEU/WC4 ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD -7.0d
CY -7.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER SIGMA · 0155-140W · EGLV/ANP ERD Apr 3 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut Apr 15
ERD +3.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
WIDE ALPHA · 611 · ONEY/PN1 ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD -2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Mixed Moderate
ONE AMAZON · 0002 · ONEY/002W ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
EVER SHINE · 0156-157W · EGLV/ANP ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 11 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
NYK ORION · 0081 · ONEY/081W ERD Mar 31 | CY Cut Apr 3
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +13.5d
CY +13.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM MELISANDE · 0P50DW1MA · CMDU/PEARLAS1 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 24
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY -7.3d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
HMM RUBY · 0012 · ONEY/012W ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 23
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +6.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
EVER MODE · 1447-007W · EGLV/ ERD Apr 3 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +5.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
HMM RUBY · 012W · ONEY/PS6 ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.1d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
APL ESPLANADE · 1TUHLW1MA · CMDU/CJX ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM SWORDFISH · 0GVMDW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HUDSON EXPRESS · 616W · MAEU/707 ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NAVIOS CONSTELLATION · 613W · MAEU/712 ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM UBIQUITY · 0076 · YMLU/076W ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM ALBATROSS · 013W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 617E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD -1.0d
CY +4.3d
Yes (inside 24h) Mixed High
CMA CGM RED · 616E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.7d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC Pratiti · IU615R · MSCU/INDUS EXPRESS ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
HSL NIKE · 012E/W · ONEY/AMERXL ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE COMPETENCE · 097W · ONEY/EC1 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE MANCHESTER · 045-2 · ONEY/EC3L ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 19
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 36 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC AGADIR · MG614E · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +17.0d
CY +15.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MSC AGADIR · MG614E · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +17.0d
CY +15.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MAERSK DETROIT · 614E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 1 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MAERSK DETROIT · 614E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 1 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MOL COURAGE · 066W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Apr 5 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +10.0d
CY +11.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MOL COURAGE · 066W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Apr 5 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +10.0d
CY +11.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC KUMSAL · GN616W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC KUMSAL · GN616W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC SYDNEY VI · NH616R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC SYDNEY VI · NH616R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
APL CALIFORNIA · 0VBM8E1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +4.3d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
APL CALIFORNIA · 0VBM8E1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +4.3d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
COSCO VIETNAM · 107W · COSU/GME ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +4.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
COSCO VIETNAM · 107W · COSU/GME ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +4.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC YAMUNA VI · 616S · MSCU/SCS ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC YAMUNA VI · 616S · MSCU/SCS ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
A OBELIX · 0YKCWS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
A OBELIX · 0YKCWS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK MONTANA · 617E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK MONTANA · 617E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM MOLIERE · 0VBM4E1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM MOLIERE · 0VBM4E1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM PLATON · 0YKCUS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM PLATON · 0YKCUS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM TAORMINA · 0PGNAW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM TAORMINA · 0PGNAW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
FELIXSTOWE · 528S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
FELIXSTOWE · 528S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HANS SCHULTE · 0GBFKS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HANS SCHULTE · 0GBFKS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK RUBICON · 615S · MAEU/SCS ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK RUBICON · 615S · MAEU/SCS ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MARINA · IV617R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MARINA · IV617R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM IBERIA · 41S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM IBERIA · 41S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 12 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
COSCO PORTUGAL · 081 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +17.0d
CY +20.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CSCL AUTUMN · 071W · CHN/ ERD Apr 3 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC SENEGAL · 615S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 14
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING DENALI · 052 · COSU/PVCS ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD -1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Mixed Elevated
CSCL SUMMER · 073W · CHN/ ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC MELATILDE · 616S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.1d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEALAND BALBOA · 617S · MAEU/U8E ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
COSCO THAILAND · 114 · COSU/PSX ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK YELLOWSTONE · 615 · MAEU/PANZ ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK YOSEMITE · 616 · MAEU/PANZ ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 20 | CY Cut Apr 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC FLORA · 615R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MUNDRA VIII · 617S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 31 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MAERSK MEMPHIS · 615E · MAEU/AL6 ERD Apr 5 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +8.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
EVER FAITH · 034E · EGLV/TA2 ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK GATESHEAD · 616E · MAEU/TEX ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +5.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
TOLTEN · 6210 · HLCU/TPI ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ZIM ATLANTIC · 040E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD Apr 6 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ONE COMPETENCE · 097W · ONEY/EC1 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ATLANTIC SEA · ATE6726 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC MAPUTO · GU616E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MARINA · IV609A · MSCU/IND ERD Apr 4 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ONE WREN · 029W · ONEY/EC3 ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -4.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM LIBRA · 1TUIFN1 · CMDU/LP3 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
GSL NINGBO · GU615E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
QUEBEC EXPRESS · 0001W · HLCU/AL3 ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK GARONNE · 616E · MAEU/801 ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD -2.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EMMA A · 0USC0E1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER META · 1348W · EGLV/LP2 ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM RIMBAUD · 0INM6E1 · CMDU/EIS ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM SAMSON · 0XRAKW1 · CMDU/CBX ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 22
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
COSCO PRIDE · 087W · COSU/LP1 ERD Apr 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SEASPAN EMISSARY · 617W · HLCU/TEX ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SUAPE EXPRESS · 616E · HLCU/AL3 ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC TAMPICO V · IU616R · MSCU/INDX ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC URSULA VI · UA616A · MSCU/MD ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26417N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26417N · CCBZ/BAL ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK FREDERICIA · 617E · MAEU/TA3 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 617S · MAEU/NAE ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEASPAN PRIDE · 087W · COSU/LP1 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TALOS · 1349W · EGLV/LP2 ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TEMPANOS · 2521W · HLCU/AA7 ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 11 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ULSAN EXPRESS · 616W · HLCU/US4 ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 14 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
GEORGE III · 097W · HLCU/ ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 8
-> ERD Apr 21 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
NPDL CALIFORNIA · 2607S · NPD/ ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
EVER MODE · 1447-007W · EGLV/HTW ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
WAN HAI A11 · 016W · WHLC/ ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MAERSK YOSEMITE · 616S · MAEU/067 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
HMM RUBY · 012W · HDMU/ ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC MELATILDE · 616S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 23
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
EVER LEGION · 1214-066W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 22
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM TITAN · 1TUHH · CMDU/CJX ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
PRESIDENT JQ ADAMS · 0DBO0W1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CPS1 · 1214-033W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER FAST · 1214-028W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER FUTURE · 1214-032W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM OPAL · 0010 · HDMU/010W ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 18 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ATLANTIC SUN · 7226 · ACLU/ ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 23
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK MEMPHIS · 616E · MAEU/812 ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK GATESHEAD · 616E · MAEU/810 ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
ATLANTIC SEA · ATE6726 · ACLU/ ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 10 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC LUCY · MZ617R · MSCU/ ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
AIN SNAN EXPRESS · 617W · MAEU/716 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COCHRANE · 617W · MAEU/712 ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 17 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EMMA A · 0USC0E1TK · HLCU/AL5 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
KURE · 617W · MSCU/ ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK FREDERICIA · 617E · MAEU/803 ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTE PASCOAL · 614S · MAEU/84D ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC LEO VI · 616W · MSCU/ ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MAPUTO · 616E · MSCU/ ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MARINA · 609A · MSCU/ ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ROSARIA · 616A · MSCU/ ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NINGBO · 615E · ZIMU/ ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 10
-> ERD Apr 7 | CY Cut Apr 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEASPAN EMISSARY · 617E · MAEU/810 ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WIELAND · 617S · MAEU/UHC ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 17
-> ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 17
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 7 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC CALAIS · 615R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 14
-> ERD Apr 8 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC NITYA B · 615R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 8
-> ERD Apr 3 | CY Cut Apr 9
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM ARKANSAS · 0TNI6 · CMDU/CPNW ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
-> ERD Apr 13 | CY Cut Apr 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM SEATTLE · 0Y1LR · CMDU/PS1ANL ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD Apr 16 | CY Cut Apr 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COSCO VENICE · 078S · COSU/ ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
-> ERD Apr 14 | CY Cut Apr 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NADI CHIEF · 011W · WSL/ ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI 506 · 236W · WHLC/ ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
-> ERD Apr 9 | CY Cut Apr 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • ONEY/EC4: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • ZIMU/ZCA: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/EMUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MAEU/MECL: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/LONESTAR: 2 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 54.3% of vessels classified High and 51.4% showed late-stage movement across 35 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Tacoma (USTIW) warrants extra buffer this week. 50.0% of vessels classified High and 33.3% showed late-stage movement across 6 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Newark (USEWR) warrants extra buffer this week. 11.1% of vessels classified High and 22.2% showed late-stage movement across 18 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 26 April 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.