THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of June 13, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published June 15, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 7 June 2026 through Saturday 13 June 2026

Published: Monday 15 June 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-06-07/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 7 June 2026 and Saturday 13 June 2026, 165 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 57.5% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 60.0% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was ONE MISSION 0087 at Los Angeles: ERD +26.6d and CY Cut +27.4d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 40 57.5% 60.0% Mixed High
USOAK Oakland 7 42.9% 71.4% Mixed High
USTIW Tacoma 5 40.0% 40.0% Mixed High
USLAX Los Angeles 10 30.0% 40.0% Mixed High
USHOU Houston 34 17.6% 47.1% Late-biased Elevated
USLGB Long Beach 10 10.0% 50.0% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 33 6.1% 27.3% Mixed Elevated
USSEA Seattle 4 0.0% 50.0% Late-biased High
USEWR Newark 17 0.0% 17.6% Late-biased Stable
USNYC New York 5 0.0% 0.0% Mixed Stable

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


Terminal Volatility Signals (Safe-to-Gate leading layer)

Three forward-looking signal layers, read together with the per-port tables below. They answer the exporter's core question - is this terminal's receiving window stable enough to commit dropoff, or is pressure building that will move it?

Port Quarterly volatility Revision-density early-warning Convergence pressure (vessels on shared dates) Upstream (previous-port) pressure
Savannah (USSAV) Moderate (#5), Stable (#21) - 7 vessels converged (High); 19% late-stage n/a (West-Coast coverage)
Oakland (USOAK) Moderate (#11), Stable (#15) Sustained elevation vs baseline up to 3 vessels (Moderate) 114 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~195h
Tacoma (USTIW) Elevated (#2), Elevated (#3) - - 23 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~204h
Los Angeles (USLAX) High (#1), Elevated (#4) - - 54 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~265h
Houston (USHOU) Moderate (#8), Moderate (#9) - 6 vessels converged (High); 0% late-stage n/a (West-Coast coverage)
Long Beach (USLGB) Moderate (#6), Stable (#17) - up to 3 vessels (Moderate) 90 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~301h
Norfolk (USORF) Moderate (#12), Stable (#18) - 5 vessels converged (High); 17% late-stage n/a (West-Coast coverage)
Seattle (USSEA) Moderate (#13), Stable (#22) - up to 3 vessels (Moderate) 35 vessels mismatched at prior port, ETA slipping ~234h
Newark (USEWR) Moderate (#10), Stable (#23) - up to 4 vessels (Moderate) n/a (West-Coast coverage)
New York (USNYC) Moderate (#7), Stable (#16) - 5 vessels converged (High); 100% late-stage n/a (West-Coast coverage)

How to read this. Quarterly volatility is the terminal's standing reliability tier (the neutral, published Terminal Volatility Index). Revision-density early-warning flags a terminal running sustained above its own recent baseline - a change signal, so a consistently busy terminal shows pressure through convergence rather than here. Convergence pressure counts vessels bunching onto shared receiving dates before the revisions fire - a capacity signal that precedes the cascade. Upstream pressure (West-Coast transpacific only) flags vessels already running behind at their previous port, the earliest warning that a US receiving window will move. None of these is a verdict; they tell you where to tighten the commit and rebuild contingency.

4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Oakland: 71.4% late-stage movement across 7 vessels.
  • Savannah: 60.0% late-stage movement across 40 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 50.0% late-stage movement across 10 vessels.
  • Seattle: 50.0% late-stage movement across 4 vessels.
  • Houston: 47.1% late-stage movement across 34 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 40 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC LANGSAR · IU620 · MSCU/INDUS ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +18.0d
CY +18.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
SEABOARD GEMINI · 00055 · SMLU/SMJS ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM IBERIA · 42E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
GREENLAND · IV617 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +10.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC JULIANA III · PH622 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
ONE CRANE · 035W · ONEY/PEC2 ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC LAURA · MZ622 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC SORAYA · MZ618 · MSCU/INDUS ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD -3.0d
CY -4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
OOCL KOREA · 057W · COSU/OALP1 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CORNELIA MAERSK · 621E · MAEU/MECL ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD -3.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
COSCO SHIPPING AZALEA · 035W · COSU/OALP1 ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +3.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
OOCL SUNFLOWER · 009W · OOLU/OALP2 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD -3.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC CARMEN · UF622 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Moderate
ZIM MOUNT KILIMANJARO · 11W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER MEGA · 009E · EGLV/OAONEAT1 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM SCORPIO · 9W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD -2.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC ARCHIMIDIS VIII · MZ623 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM INNOVATION · 0MRLAE1MA · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
KIEL EXPRESS · 623E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC MARITINA V · FE623 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ONE FALCON · 032W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC SUAPE VII · NO609 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
VANCOUVER STAR · 623E · HLCU/GTEX ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SAN FRANCISCO BRIDGE · 0085W · ONEY/WIN ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CAUTIN · 2517W · HLCU/AA7 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM VERDI · INMGE · CMDU/INDAMEX2 ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER MODEL · 003W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK CHICAGO · 622E · MAEU/MECL ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 11
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK SERANGOON · 622E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC EVEREST VIII · MG620 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
AL QIBLA EXPRESS · 622W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
TIRUA · 6217 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 6
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CONTI MAKALU · IU624 · MSCU/INDUS ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK NANSHA · 624S · MAEU/SAE ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 11
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEVILLE · 624W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ARICA · IV612 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC COTE D*IVOIRE · MG619 · MSCU/ ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC IVORY COAST · MG619 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR BRASIL · 624S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 11
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
UBENA · RPSZN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 7 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
JANET MARIE · 076W · PHH/ ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ONE FANTASTIC · 009W · ONEY/MS2 ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 11
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD -3.0d
CY -1.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
SEASPAN HAMBURG · 623S · HLCU/PANZ ERD Jun 6 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD -3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM T. JEFFERSON · 1TUI9 · CMDU/CJX ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
PRESIDENT REAGAN · 0DBOEW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
ONE Mission · 087W · ONEY/PS1 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MOL Mission · 087W · ONEY/PS1 ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 5 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EVER LEADER · 0019-079W · EGLV/ANP ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.3d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
BUDAPEST EXPRESS · 624W · MAEU/WC4 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 12
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY -7.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CARL SCHULTE · 014 · ONEY/PN1 ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -6.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
HYUNDAI FORWARD · 0169 · HDMU/170E ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD -3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Mixed Elevated
HMM GARAM · 0020 · YMLU/021W ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 10 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE MISSION · 0087 · ONEY/087W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +26.6d
CY +27.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
EVER MACH · 1454-016W · EGLV/Asia-U.S. Southwest Coast Express Service(HTW) ERD May 22 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +7.3d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM TITAN · 0P515W1MA · CMDU/PEARLAS1 ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 12
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD -7.0d
CY -7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER MILD · 1454-010W · EGLV/Asia-U.S. Southwest Coast Express Service(HTW) ERD May 22 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM TARPON · 0GVMRW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
YM MOVEMENT · 085W · ONEY/VSE ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM BLUE WHALE · 0CLMOE1MA · CMDU/AL5 ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
PELICAN I · 013W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PRESIDENT JQ ADAMS · 0DBOGW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM UTILITY · 0101 · YMLU/101W ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 34 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
KLEVEN · IV623R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +11.0d
CY +12.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
KLEVEN · IV623R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +11.0d
CY +12.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
ZIM BALTIMORE · 348S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
ZIM BALTIMORE · 348S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC RACHELE · IV622R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +4.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC RACHELE · IV622R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +4.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC PHOENIX · 2623S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +2.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC PHOENIX · 2623S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +2.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ANTWERP · 80W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
ANTWERP · 80W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC LANGSAR · 2623S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC LANGSAR · 2623S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CHENNAI EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CHENNAI EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
JPO PISCES · 624E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
JPO PISCES · 624E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC SYDNEY VI · NH623R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC SYDNEY VI · NH623R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM MOLIERE · 0VBMKE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM MOLIERE · 0VBMKE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM PLATON · 0YKDAS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM PLATON · 0YKDAS1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK MONTANA · 620W · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK MONTANA · 620W · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC CADIZ · MG623E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC CADIZ · MG623E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM PASSION · 0PGNOW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM PASSION · 0PGNOW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM RABELAIS · 0GBFUS1MA · CMDU/BRAZEX ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM RABELAIS · 0GBFUS1MA · CMDU/BRAZEX ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARIA Y · 624W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARIA Y · 624W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC EXPRESS III · LE625A · MSCU/GOX ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC EXPRESS III · LE625A · MSCU/GOX ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 10 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
OOCL ATLANTA · 173 · COSU/PSX ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO PORTUGAL · 082 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD May 25 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CSCL BOHAI SEA · 076 · COSU/AAC ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING DENALI · 053 · COSU/PVCS ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC KANOKO · 624S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM DUTCH HARBOR · 622 · ANL/PANZ ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC ELIANA · 618A · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC GAYANE · 622R · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MUNDRA VIII · 624S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE HONOLULU · 0230 · ONEY/230W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 33 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC SORAYA · MZ618A · MSCU/INDX ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
KOTKA · IV618A · MSCU/IND ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING AZALEA · 035W · COSU/LP1 ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ZIM IBERIA · 042E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD May 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CAUTIN · 2517W · HLCU/AA7 ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
EMMA A · 0USCEE1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA ERD May 29 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC DENISSE X · GU623E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
ZIM MOUNT OLYMPUS · 010W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO HARMONY · 085W · COSU/LP1 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC MAEVA · NO622E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TORRENTE · 6218 · HLCU/TPI ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC ODESSA V · UA622A · MSCU/MD ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
BELITA · 0XRAYW1 · CMDU/CBX ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD -1.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ONE CRANE · 035W · ONEY/EC2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +2.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC INIYA V · UA624A · MSCU/MD ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 7 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC UTMOST VIII · NO623E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM A. LINCOLN · 1TUJBN1 · CMDU/LP3 ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 12
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM VERDI · 0INMIE1 · CMDU/EIS ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
DORTMUND EXPRESS · 623W · HLCU/US4 ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC TOPAZ · FD620E · MSCU/DRAGON ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TOLEDO TRIUMPH · 1355W · OOLU/LP2 ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ATLANTIC SAIL · ATS6526 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26424N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
KIEL EXPRESS · 623E · HLCU/AL3 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 623E · MAEU/801 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK HARTFORD · 622E · MAEU/MECL ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MEMPHIS · 623E · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK TENNESSEE · 621W · MAEU/801 ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC LYON · NN622A · MSCU/BLT ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NAVIOS UNISON · 623W · HLCU/US2 ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR BRASIL · 624S · MAEU/NAE ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEASPAN HARMONY · 085W · COSU/LP1 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SFL HAWAII · 624E · MAEU/TA3 ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 4 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM ARKANSAS · 0TNIK · CMDU/CPNW ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC FIRENZE · 623R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
SUVA CHIEF · 005W · QWJ/ ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL NEW YORK · 119W · OOLU/PNW1 ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 17 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ATLANTIC STAR · 7226 · ACLU/ ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
GSL MYNY · 624W · MAEU/ ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC BOSPHORUS · 623W · MSCU/ ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC ANYA V · 624A · MSCU/ ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 8 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
C HAMBURG · 624E · MSCU/ ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
GSL NICOLETTA · 624E · MAEU/812 ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HONG KONG EXPRESS · 624W · MAEU/716 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LEXA MAERSK · 621W · MAEU/84W ERD Jun 9 | CY Cut Jun 10
-> ERD Jun 9 | CY Cut Jun 10
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARIANNA I · 622A · MSCU/ ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC CARMEN · 623A · MSCU/ ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC INIYA V · 623A · MSCU/ ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MOMBASA · 624R · MSCU/ ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC UTMOST VIII · 623E · MSCU/ ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 2 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PORT EVERGLADES EXPRESS · 624S · MAEU/AL6 ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD Jun 5 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SFL HAWAII · 624E · MAEU/803 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI A10 · W013 · HLCU/AL5 ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 8
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WIELAND · 624S · MAEU/UHC ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 5 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM ABU DHABI · 623E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +7.0d
CY +5.3d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM HOMERE · 623E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM KAILAS · 623E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM VERDI · 623E/W · CMDU/INDAMEX ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
HMM VICTORY · 059W · HDMU/ec2 ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MSCU/MEX GULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • COSU/OALP1: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MAEU/MECL: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUS: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 57.5% of vessels classified High and 60.0% showed late-stage movement across 40 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Oakland (USOAK) warrants extra buffer this week. 42.9% of vessels classified High and 71.4% showed late-stage movement across 7 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Houston (USHOU) warrants extra buffer this week. 17.6% of vessels classified High and 47.1% showed late-stage movement across 34 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 14 June 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.