THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of May 30, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published June 1, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 24 May 2026 through Saturday 30 May 2026

Published: Monday 1 June 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-05-24/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 24 May 2026 and Saturday 30 May 2026, 187 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 71.4% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 80.0% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was EVER MILD 0TENQW1MA at Los Angeles: ERD +0.0d and CY Cut +18.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 35 71.4% 80.0% Mixed High
USLGB Long Beach 11 36.4% 63.6% Mixed High
USHOU Houston 34 35.3% 23.5% Mixed High
USLAX Los Angeles 19 31.6% 26.3% Mixed High
USTIW Tacoma 7 28.6% 28.6% Mixed Elevated
USOAK Oakland 10 20.0% 40.0% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 35 17.1% 34.3% Mixed Elevated
USNYC New York 9 11.1% 33.3% Early-biased Moderate
USSEA Seattle 9 11.1% 11.1% Mixed Moderate
USEWR Newark 18 5.6% 38.9% Mixed Moderate

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Savannah: 80.0% late-stage movement across 35 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 63.6% late-stage movement across 11 vessels.
  • Oakland: 40.0% late-stage movement across 10 vessels.
  • Newark: 38.9% late-stage movement across 18 vessels.
  • Norfolk: 34.3% late-stage movement across 35 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 35 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
HMM VICTORY · 059W · HDMU/PEC2 ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MARIANNA I · IV612 · MSCU/INDUS ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD -14.0d
CY -14.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ZIM VIRGINIA · 156E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +11.0d
CY +13.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MAERSK ATLANTA · 616E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +8.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MELCHIOR SCHULTE · USCAE · TRKU/TURKON ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +8.0d
CY +8.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM AMBER · 13W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
COSCO HOPE · 075E · OOLU/OAONEAT1 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +7.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
YM TRANQUILITY · 019W · YMLU/PEC1 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +6.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC TOMOKO · MZ615 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING LOTUS · 032W · COSU/OALP1 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM FIDELIO · LBM8E · CMDU/CBX ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD -3.0d
CY -4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC DOMNA X · NO619 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
APL HOUSTON · XRASW · CMDU/OAONEAT2 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD -2.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
SEOUL EXPRESS · 621E · HLCU/GTEX ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD -2.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM MOUNT VINSON · 10W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +3.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
OOCL SEOUL · 119E · COSU/TA1AL6 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
CMA CGM GANGES · INMCE · CMDU/INDAMEX2 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC ORNELLA · UF620 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MOL ENDOWMENT · 102W · ONEY/EMA ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM ARGENTINA · TUIVN · CMDU/OAAWE3 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OOCL LAVENDER · 002W · OOLU/OALP2 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC BARCELONA · UA620 · MSCU/MSCESA1 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
NINGBO EXPRESS · 621E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ONE MONACO · 030W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
PORTO CHELI · 620E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
STEPHANIE C · 6215 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER FORE · 023W · EGLV/OAAWE4 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ARTEMIS · PH621 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
LUCIE SCHULTE · 622S · MAEU/SAE ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
POLAR COSTA RICA · 622S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
EVER MAGNA · 004W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CONTSHIP ICE · AGSMN · CMDU/ADHOC ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MARIUS · 6424 · MARFRET USA INC/RTWSB ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
LUDWIGSHAFEN EXPRESS · 620W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK TAURUS · 622W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 11 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
COSCO BELGIUM · 085 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC CARLOTTA · 620R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CSCL SOUTH CHINA SEA · 082W · CMDU/ ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +2.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
OOCL UTAH · 085 · COSU/PSX ERD Jun 29 | CY Cut Jul 6
-> ERD Jun 29 | CY Cut Jul 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.2d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO TAICANG · 109W · COSU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC FIRENZE · 616A · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
COSCO SHIPPING CARNATION · 006 · COSU/PVCS ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ANL WARRNAMBOOL · 621 · ANL/PANZ ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.2d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ILARIA · 622S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC ILARIA · FV622S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEALAND BALBOA · 622S · MAEU/U8E ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 34 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC SOFIA CELESTE · IV620R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC SOFIA CELESTE · IV620R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MAERSK ATLANTA · 616E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +7.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MAERSK ATLANTA · 616E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +7.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC ALICANTE · NH620R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC ALICANTE · NH620R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
RDO CONCORD · 620E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
RDO CONCORD · 620E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
ARGUS · 236E · CMDU/VICTORY ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +3.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
ARGUS · 236E · CMDU/VICTORY ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +3.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC JASMINE X · IV621R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC JASMINE X · IV621R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK SELETAR · 619E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -2.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK SELETAR · 619E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -2.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
VALUE · MG621E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
VALUE · MG621E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MAERSK SANTANA · 622W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK SANTANA · 622W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MAGNUM VII · 621S · MSCU/SCS ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MAGNUM VII · 621S · MSCU/SCS ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC NIOVI VIII · MG620E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC NIOVI VIII · MG620E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC MAUREEN · NH621R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MAUREEN · NH621R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK GARONNE · 622E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK GARONNE · 622E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM DALILA · 0PGNKW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM DALILA · 0PGNKW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 622E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 622E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SWANSEA · 0GBFSS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SWANSEA · 0GBFSS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
XIN DA YANG ZHOU · 107W · CHN/GME ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
XIN DA YANG ZHOU · 107W · CHN/GME ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 19 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EVER MILD · 0TENQW1MA · CMDU/GEX ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut Jun 9
ERD +0.0d
CY +18.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
PRESIDENT BUSH · 0DBOCW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 26
ERD -10.0d
CY -7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM J. MADISON · 1TUHXW1MA · CMDU/CJX ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 8
ERD +0.0d
CY -10.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
EVER MATCH · 1452-004W · EGLV/ ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +6.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM GEORGIA · 0GVMNW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY -0.3d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM BRAZIL · 1TUI5W1MA · CMDU/LP3 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM CASSIOPEIA · 0P50XW1MA · CMDU/PEARLAS1 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
EVER LAUREL · 1219W · CMDU/HBB ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.1d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
GUNDE MAERSK · 622W · MAEU/708 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
HMM NURI · 019W · ONEY/PS6 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
GREENHOUSE · 006W · ONEY/VSE ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
KANDLA EXPRESS · 618W · MAEU/712 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.1d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER MEMO · 1453-011W · EGLV/FP1 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CISNES · 621W · MAEU/706 ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM NURI · 0019 · ONEY/019W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MTCH · 1452-004W · EGLV/Asia-U.S. Southwest Coast Express Service(HTW) ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE ARCADIA · 0077 · ONEY/077W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM UNIFORM · 0248 · YMLU/248W ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM ALBATROSS · 014W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 7 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EVER SMILE · 0160-133W · EGLV/ANP ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 11
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +8.0d
CY +9.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
EVER SUMMIT · 0161-130W · EGLV/Asia - Northwest - Pacific service(ANP) ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +3.0d
CY +8.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
HYUNDAI PLUTO · 0045 · YMLU/045W ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 20
ERD -5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
HYUNDAI SUPREME · 0157 · HDMU/157W ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD -3.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Mixed Elevated
FRANKFURT EXPRESS · 622W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TPN1 · 0474-001W · EGLV/ANP ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM TOPMOST · 0024 · YMLU/024W ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 10 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
JANET MARIE · 075W · PHH/ ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
PRESIDENT LB JOHNSON · 0DBOAW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -10.4d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
EVER MATCH · 1452-004W · EGLV/ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +2.0d
CY +5.2d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER LEGACY · 1218-076W · EGLV/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +5.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC DARLENE · FV621S · MSCU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
ANL WARRNAMBOOL · 0Y1LZ · ANL/ ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
GUNDE MAERSK · 622W · MAEU/708 ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM BRAZIL · 1TUI1 · CMDU/ ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM EMERALD · 013W · HDMU/ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE BLUE JAY · 041W · ONEY/ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 35 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ZIM VIRGINIA · 156E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD May 6 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +9.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
NHAVA SHEVA EXPRESS · 621W · HLCU/US2 ERD May 10 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
TUBUL · 2509W · HLCU/AA7 ERD May 9 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC RACHELE · IV615A · MSCU/IND ERD May 13 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC BREMEN · UA621A · MSCU/MD ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ZIM MOUNT EVEREST · 013W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD May 13 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MELCHIOR SCHULTE · 0USCAE1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC ARCHIMIDIS VIII · FD618E · MSCU/DRAGON ERD May 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC VERACRUZ V · IU621R · MSCU/INDX ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM CALLISTO · 1TUJ3N1 · CMDU/LP3 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD -4.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ONE MAGNIFICENCE · 084W · ONEY/WIN ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
EVER MAGI · 1353W · EGLV/LP2 ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MAERSK DENVER · 619E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM GANGES · 0INMCE1 · CMDU/EIS ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
POLAR COSTA RICA · 622S · MAEU/NAE ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
SFL MAUI · 622E · MAEU/TA3 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 619W · MAEU/801 ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM AMBITION · 0MRL6E1 · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM LITANI · 0XRAUW1 · CMDU/CBX ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 27
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MUKADDES KALKAVAN · 0USC4E1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC TOMOKO · MZ621R · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ATLANTIC SEA · ATE6926 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ONE HAMMERSMITH · 089E · ONEY/TA2 ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 25
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ROME EXPRESS · 621W · HLCU/US4 ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC ARUSHI R. · NN620A · MSCU/BLT ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK KANSAS · 621E · MAEU/801 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC CANDICE · MZ622R · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM ARGENTINA · 1TUIZN1MA · COSU/LP3 ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LONDON EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/TEX ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 621E · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MOL ENDOWMENT · 102E · ONEY/AL8 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC BRIDGEPORT · NO621E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NINGBO EXPRESS · 621E · HLCU/AL3 ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE MILANO · 032W · ONEY/EC3 ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TENO · 2535E · HLCU/AA7 ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 9 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM CALLISTO · 1TUJ3N1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.7d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MARIANNE SCHULTE · 622E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.7d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 623E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM KAILAS · 620E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM INNOVATION · 622E/W · CMDU/AMRGO ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
HYUNDAI SATURN · 052 · HDMU/EC1 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Kleven · IV616A · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Mol Endowment · 102E · ONEY/EMA ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE HAMMERSMITH · 089 · ONEY/AT1 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 9 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC TEXAS · 622R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -2.0d
CY -5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MSC GABRIELLA · 621R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM DUTCH HARBOR · 0Y1M1 · ANL/ ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COSCO JEDDAH · 095W · COSU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LOTUS A · 0TNIG · CMDU/CPNW ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC GAYANE · 622R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC VITTORIA · 622R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SM MUMBAI · 2603W · SMC/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SM TIANJIN · 2603W · SMC/ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 18 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ATLANTIC SUN · 7426 · ACLU/ ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK FORTALEZA · 622S · MAEU/UHC ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
OSAKA EXPRESS · 622W · MAEU/712 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
BSG BAHAMAS · 622S · MAEU/U7J ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MUKADDES KALKAVAN · 0USC4E1TK · HLCU/AL5 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
AL QIBLA EXPRESS · 622W · MAEU/716 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SFL MAUI · 622E · MAEU/803 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
NHAVA SHEVA EXPRESS · 621W · MAEU/712 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
LONDON EXPRESS · 622E · MAEU/810 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LUNA MAERSK · 619W · MAEU/84W ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTE ROSA · 619S · MAEU/84D ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SERANGOON · 622E · MAEU/812 ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SHAMS · 620W · MAEU/711 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ANISHA R. · 622A · MSCU/ ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC BREMEN · 621A · MSCU/ ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC CANDICE · 622R · MSCU/ ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC LISBON IX · 622E · MSCU/ ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ROCHELLE · 620R · MSCU/ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MSCU/MEDGULF: 4 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUSA: 4 of this carrier-service's 5 vessels this week classified High.
  • MAEU/MECL: 3 of this carrier-service's 6 vessels this week classified High.
  • CMDU/PEXIII: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • CMDU/EX1APL: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 71.4% of vessels classified High and 80.0% showed late-stage movement across 35 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Long Beach (USLGB) warrants extra buffer this week. 36.4% of vessels classified High and 63.6% showed late-stage movement across 11 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 31 May 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.