THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of April 4, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published April 6, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 29 March - 4 April 2026

Reader's narrative

Long Beach ran the week. 8 vessels through the gateway. 75.0% classified High.

The largest single-voyage shift came from FELIXSTOWE 527E (ZIMU) at Savannah - ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +20.0d from the originally published window.

The cross-port pattern shows up in carrier-service clusters: MSCU/MMEDGULF recorded 2 of its 4 vessels High this week. The instability is service-shaped, not just port-shaped.

Long Beach, Savannah, Oakland, Tacoma, and Houston are on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the ports carry into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.

How to read the publication.

Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 164 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.

Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.

A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 29 March 2026 through Saturday 4 April 2026

Published: Monday 6 April 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-03-29/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 29 March 2026 and Saturday 4 April 2026, 163 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 75.0% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 72.5% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was FELIXSTOWE 527E at Savannah: ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +20.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 40 75.0% 72.5% Mixed High
USLGB Long Beach 7 71.4% 71.4% Mixed High
USSEA Seattle 8 25.0% 25.0% Mixed Elevated
USOAK Oakland 11 18.2% 54.5% Mixed Elevated
USNYC New York 6 16.7% 33.3% Late-biased Elevated
USLAX Los Angeles 22 13.6% 22.7% Mixed Moderate
USHOU Houston 18 11.1% 33.3% Mixed Elevated
USEWR Newark 12 8.3% 25.0% Late-biased Moderate
USORF Norfolk 35 5.7% 25.7% Mixed Moderate
USTIW Tacoma 4 0.0% 50.0% Mixed High

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Savannah: 72.5% late-stage movement across 40 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 71.4% late-stage movement across 7 vessels.
  • Oakland: 54.5% late-stage movement across 11 vessels.
  • Tacoma: 50.0% late-stage movement across 4 vessels.
  • New York: 33.3% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 40 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
FELIXSTOWE · 527E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut Mar 7
-> ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +17.0d
CY +20.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC LUANDA VIII · MG608 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +13.0d
CY +13.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
HMM SAPPHIRE · 010W · HDMU/PEC2 ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11
-> ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +12.0d
CY +12.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM ASIA · 59E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +12.0d
CY +11.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
GSL ELENI · 610E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +11.0d
CY +11.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM GREEN · RPLGS · CMDU/RTWSB ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +10.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CONTI ANNAPURNA · 021W · ONEY/PEC1 ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 21
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +10.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC IVORY COAST · MG609 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut Mar 21
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +9.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
NEVZAT KALKAVAN · USBUE · TRKU/TURKON ERD Mar 14 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +9.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
CLEMENTINE MAERSK · 612E · MAEU/MECL ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 21
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
COSCO HARMONY · 084W · COSU/OALP1 ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 21
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC FLORENTINA · NO610 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD Mar 14 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
NORDAMELIA · RPLIS · CMDU/RTWSB ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 24
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +5.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
WAN HAI A08 · W015 · WHLC/AA7 ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 24
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +5.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
X-PRESS ANTLIA · 015E · COSU/EMA ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +4.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
CMA CGM ARCTIC · TUHZN · CMDU/OAAWE3 ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 24
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC CARMEN · UF612 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
SEOUL EXPRESS · 613E · HLCU/GTEX ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 28 | CY Cut Apr 3
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM PEARL · 9W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
KUALA LUMPUR EXPRESS · 614W · HLCU/ADHOC ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Moderate
COSCO DEVELOPMENT · 080W · COSU/OALP2 ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC GABON · NO612 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC MAUREEN · IV607 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC VANDYA · FD607 · MSCU/ADHOC ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
OOCL LILAC · 003W · OOLU/OALP2 ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
ARGUS · 235E · ONEY/OAONEAT2 ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CAP ANDREAS · 024W · ONEY/WIN ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM VENTANIA · NGZCN · CMDU/ADHOC ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC JESSENIA R · FE613 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC VANESSA · IU613 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
PRAGUE EXPRESS · 2533W · HLCU/AA7 ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM MOUNT RAINIER · 11W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
AL SAFAT · 612E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TANGIER EXPRESS · 612W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 28
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
BERNHARD SCHULTE · 270E · COSU/EMA ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC JULIANA III · PH613 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
LUCIE SCHULTE · 614S · MAEU/SAE ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 2
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC EVEREST VIII · MG610 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 614S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 2
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TORRENTE · 6207 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 7 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
XIN FEI ZHOU · 108 · COSU/PSX ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +4.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
OOCL BAUHINIA · 010 · OOLU/PVCS ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +6.0d
CY +8.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC CRAPOLLA · 612S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19
-> ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 24
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
HMM PEARL · 0011W · HDMU/ ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19
-> ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +5.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed High
AS PALINA · 614S · MAEU/U8E ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
COSCO OCEANIA · 112W · COSU/ ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 24
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 24
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
SEASPAN HAMBURG · 612 · HLCU/PANZ ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 8 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
SM PORTLAND · 2602W · SMC/ ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD -3.0d
CY -6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MSC BOSTON · 613R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +6.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
APL CHONGQING · 0TNUJ · CMDU/ ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC SOFIA PAZ · 612R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 24
ERD +1.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
BELLAVIA · 067S · COSU/ ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CAPE TAINARO · 614R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC SILVIA · UK613R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NADI CHIEF · 010W · WSL/ ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 11 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
PRESIDENT LB JOHNSON · 0DBNUW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 11
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +18.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
JANET MARIE · 071W · PHH/ ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 18
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM LEO · 1TUH5 · CMDU/CJX ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +5.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC BRANKA · 613S · MSCU/ ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC CRAPOLLA · 612S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER LEGACY · 1211-075W · EGLV/CPS ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
EVER MEMO · 1444-010W · EGLV/HTW ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM A. LINCOLN · 1TUH5 · CMDU/CJX ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM Savannah · 001E · CMDU/AL5 ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER MILD · 1444-009W · EGLV/HTW ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC Sofia Paz · 613R · MSCU/CAX ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Aug 30 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM AMBITION · 612E/W · CMDU/AMRGO ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 25
ERD +2.0d
CY +5.3d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
Conti Makalu · IU612R · MSCU/INDUS EXPRESS ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
Hyundai Singapore · IV608A · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 2
-> ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Mol Endowment · 101E · ONEY/EMA ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 2
-> ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE CONTRIBUTION · 064 · ONEY/EC1 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 29
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE MUNCHEN · 043-2 · ONEY/EC3L ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 22 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE HONG KONG · 0087 · ONEY/087W ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +7.5d
CY +9.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM LA SCALA · 0P501W1MA · CMDU/PEARLAS1 ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 3
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD -6.0d
CY -7.3d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
CMA CGM SAVANNAH · 001E · CMDU/AL5 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER LEGACY · 1211W · CMDU/HBB ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM LEO · 1TUH9W1MA · CMDU/CJX ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 24
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
COLORADO EXPRESS · 613W · MAEU/707 ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 23
-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER LAUREL · 1212W · CMDU/ ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM A. LINCOLN · 1TUH5W1MA · CMDU/CJX ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 20
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 19
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.5d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM GEORGIA · 0GVM7W1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM NEW YORK · 0TXMOW1MA · CMDU/PEARL ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM SAVANNAH · 0CLLWE1MA · CMDU/ADH ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Cape Kortia · MC612R · MSCU/CLX ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER MEMO · 0TEN6W1MA · CMDU/GEX ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
GUNDE MAERSK · 614W · MAEU/708 ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
-> ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC Flora · MC608A · MSCU/CLX ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE HARBOUR · 0FJN8W1MA · CMDU/FUJI ERD Mar 31 | CY Cut Apr 3
-> ERD Mar 31 | CY Cut Apr 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OSAKA EXPRESS · 610W · MAEU/712 ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PELICAN I · 011W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PRESIDENT LB JOHNSON · 0DBNUW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PRESIDENT MONROE · 0DBNSW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI A19 · · HDMU/PS7 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM MATURITY · 105W · YMLU/PS3 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 18 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC SHAY · GN612W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MSC SHAY · GN612W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
MSC NOA · IV611R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC NOA · IV611R · MSCU/INDUSA ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17
-> ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut Mar 23
ERD +6.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
OOCL EUROPE · 211W · OOLU/GME ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +5.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
OOCL EUROPE · 211W · OOLU/GME ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +5.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ONE MODERN · 079W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ONE MODERN · 079W · ONEY/EC4 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK KANSAS · 614E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK KANSAS · 614E · MAEU/AL2 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC PHOENIX · 2613S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC PHOENIX · 2613S · MSCU/GS1 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC ALICANTE · NH613R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ALICANTE · NH613R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TANGIER MAERSK · 613W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TANGIER MAERSK · 613W · MAEU/TP15 ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM BALTIMORE · 347S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM BALTIMORE · 347S · ZIMU/ZGT ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 12 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC BRASILIA VII · 612W · MSCU/ ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
ATLANTIC STAR · 6826 · ACLU/ ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
SAN FELIX · 612W · MAEU/711 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CAP ANDREAS · 024W · ONEY/ ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CCNI ANGOL · 617W · MAEU/711 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut Apr 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTE LINZOR · 611S · MAEU/84D ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 614E · MAEU/812 ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ARCHIMIDIS · MZ614R · MSCU/ ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ARCHIMIDIS VIII · MZ614R · MSCU/ ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC BRIDGEPORT · NO614E · MSCU/ ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 1
-> ERD Mar 30 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC DOMNA X · 613E · MSCU/ ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC FAITH · 608E · MSCU/ ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 35 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
JAMAICA · 124E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +9.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
PORTO CHELI · 612E · MAEU/AL6 ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +7.0d
CY -5.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
AL SAFAT · 613E · HLCU/AL3 ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
BERNHARD SCHULTE · 270E · COSU/AL8 ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
HMM SAPPHIRE · 010W · HDMU/EC2 ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM AMBITION · 0MRKQE1 · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +6.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC LAURA · MZ612R · MSCU/EMUSA ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CONTI ANNAPURNA · 021W · ONEY/EC1 ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut Mar 25
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +5.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC MAUREEN · IV607A · MSCU/IND ERD Mar 18 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ZIM THAILAND · 015W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
PRAGUE EXPRESS · 2533W · HLCU/AA7 ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CAP ANDREAS · 024W · ONEY/WIN ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut Mar 27
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ATLANTIC SAIL · ATS6126 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC ARCHIMIDIS · MZ613R · MSCU/INDX ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
LONDON EXPRESS · 614E · HLCU/TEX ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC LUDOVICA · UA612A · MSCU/MD ERD Mar 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
SHANGHAI EXPRESS · 613W · HLCU/US4 ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
A OBELIX · 2MRZ3E1 · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO HOPE · 074E · OOLU/TA2 ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER MARCO · 1345W · EGLV/LP2 ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26414N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26414N · CCBZ/BAL ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EVER MACRO · 1345W · EGLV/LP2 ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 611W · MAEU/801 ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK IOWA · 613E · MAEU/801 ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 26 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK KENSINGTON · 612E · MAEU/MECL ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 31
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC UNIFIC VI · IU613R · MSCU/INDX ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC VIDISHA R · NN612A · MSCU/BLT ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NAVIOS CONSTELLATION · 613W · HLCU/US2 ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
NHAVA SHEVA EXPRESS · 621W · HLCU/US2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE MUNCHEN · 043W · ONEY/EC3 ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 614S · MAEU/NAE ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEATTLE EXPRESS · 6208 · HLCU/TPI ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEOUL EXPRESS · 613E · HLCU/TEX ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 19 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
UMM SALAL · 614W · HLCU/US4 ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 4 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE APUS · 0022 · ONEY/022W ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +2.0d
CY +4.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER SUMMIT · 0154-129W · EGLV/ANP ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Apr 1
ERD +3.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
SKAGEN MAERSK · 614W · MAEU/WC4 ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 27
-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
YM PLUM · 193 · YMLU/PN1 ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MSCU/LONESTAR: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • ZIMU/ZCA: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • CMDU/RTWSB: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/MNEUSEC2: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUS2: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 75.0% of vessels classified High and 72.5% showed late-stage movement across 40 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Long Beach (USLGB) warrants extra buffer this week. 71.4% of vessels classified High and 71.4% showed late-stage movement across 7 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 5 April 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.