THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION
Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of January 10, 2026
Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 4-10 January 2026
Reader's narrative
Houston ran the week. 28 vessels through the gateway. 57.1% classified High.
The largest single-voyage shift came from HMM MIR 0019 (ONEY) at Tacoma - ERD +15.0d and CY Cut +14.0d from the originally published window.
The cross-port pattern shows up in carrier-service clusters: CMDU/PEXIII recorded 4 of its 4 vessels High this week. MSCU/INDUS2 recorded 2 of 3. The instability is service-shaped, not just port-shaped.
Houston and Savannah are on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the ports carry into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.
How to read the publication.
Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 156 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.
Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.
A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly
Sunday 4 January 2026 through Saturday 10 January 2026
Published: Monday 12 January 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-01-04/
1. Weekly Note
This week covers vessel-voyages that departed U.S. export gateways between Sunday 4 January 2026 and Saturday 10 January 2026. Houston showed the highest share of High classification at 57.1%. Tacoma held the largest single-voyage shift with HMM MIR 0019 at ERD +15.0d and CY Cut +14.0d. Full vessel tables below.
2. Signal, Not Verdict
Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.
3. Port Summary
| Port | Vessels this week | % High | % Late-stage | Dominant direction | Port stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USHOU Houston | 28 | 57.1% | 14.3% | Mixed | High |
| USSAV Savannah | 35 | 51.4% | 51.4% | Mixed | High |
| USTIW Tacoma | 9 | 33.3% | 33.3% | Mixed | High |
| USSEA Seattle | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USORF Norfolk | 36 | 16.7% | 19.4% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USEWR Newark | 13 | 15.4% | 23.1% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USOAK Oakland | 7 | 14.3% | 0.0% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USLAX Los Angeles | 8 | 12.5% | 12.5% | Late-biased | Moderate |
| USLGB Long Beach | 10 | 10.0% | 40.0% | Mixed | Moderate |
| USNYC New York | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | Mixed | Moderate |
Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Charleston (USCHS) had zero departures in the week window and is omitted per framework Section 6.
4. Quick Scan Layer
- Houston: 57.1% of vessels classified High across 28 total.
- Savannah: 51.4% late-stage movement across 35 vessels.
- Tacoma: 33.3% of vessels classified High across 9 total.
- Seattle: 25.0% of vessels classified High across 4 total.
- Norfolk: 36 vessels, Elevated at the port level.
5. Per-Port Vessel Tables
Houston · USHOU · 28 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER SUPERB · 111W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +14.0dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| EVER SUPERB · 111W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +14.0dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ANTIGUA · MG552E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +14.0dCY +13.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC ANTIGUA · MG552E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +14.0dCY +13.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| YM MODESTY · 076W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 19-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +14.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| YM MODESTY · 076W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 19-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +14.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| TIANJIN · 59W · ZIMU/LONESTAR | ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut Dec 19-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +13.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| TIANJIN · 59W · ZIMU/LONESTAR | ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut Dec 19-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +13.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL MINNESOTA · 0VBLCE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +11.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL MINNESOTA · 0VBLCE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +11.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL DANUBE · 0PGMEW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +7.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL DANUBE · 0PGMEW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +7.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL NEW JERSEY · 0GBEUS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +8.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| APL NEW JERSEY · 0GBEUS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +8.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM OHIO · 0PGMCW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM OHIO · 0PGMCW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK SEVILLE · 601W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +5.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK SEVILLE · 601W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +5.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MARIA Y · 552W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Dec 16 | CY Cut Dec 22-> ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +5.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MARIA Y · 552W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Dec 16 | CY Cut Dec 22-> ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +5.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK GARONNE · 602E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD -1.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK GARONNE · 602E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD -1.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK SENTOSA · 552E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK SENTOSA · 552E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| W KITHIRA · 601E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| W KITHIRA · 601E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| XIN YA ZHOU · 173W · COSU/GME | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| XIN YA ZHOU · 173W · COSU/GME | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Savannah · USSAV · 35 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC JULIANA III · PH551 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut Dec 20-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +14.0dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE APUS · 021W · ONEY/PEC2 | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ARGUS · 233E · ONEY/OAONEAT2 | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 27-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +8.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC MARINA · IV546 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 27-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +8.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| COSCO SHIPPING AZALEA · 033W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MELCHIOR SCHULTE · USB8E · TRKU/TURKON | ERD Dec 20 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC LUDOVICA · UA552 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE COMMITMENT · 071W · ONEY/PEC1 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM LAPIS · UB86E · CMDU/EMA | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 1 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ORNELLA · UF601 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +2.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MUNDRA EXPRESS · 5247 · HLCU/INDAMEX | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EPAMINONDAS · IU552 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 19 | CY Cut Dec 25 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER META · 002W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 1 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC TIANJIN · 549W · MSCU/MMEDGULF | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| SEASPAN EMISSARY · 601E · HLCU/GTEX | ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ZIM TOPAZ · 6W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| NINGBO EXPRESS · 601E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| W KITHIRA · 601E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM PREGOLIA · RPKTS · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +7.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| OOCL LILAC · 002W · OOLU/OALP2 | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut Dec 27-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| COSCO SHANGHAI · 217E · COSU/TA1AL6 | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +4.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| NORDPACIFIC · RPKVS · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC STELLA · IU602 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +1.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC ZONDA III · PH601 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD -1.0dCY -2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK MEMPHIS · 552E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 | ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC MARIA LAURA II · IU602 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC QINGDAO · IU601 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| TSC LONDON · MZ601 · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM CALLAO · CAD8S · CMDU/CAGEMA | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM MEDEA · XR9OW · CMDU/CBX | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EPAMINONDAS · IV545A · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Dec 19 | CY Cut Dec 25-> ERD Dec 19 | CY Cut Dec 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LEVERKUSEN EXPRESS · 552W · HLCU/GTP16US4 | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LUCIE SCHULTE · 602S · MAEU/SAE | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC CAPUCINE R · UF601 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NORDPACIFIC · RPKVS · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 3-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Tacoma · USTIW · 9 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMM MIR · 0019 · ONEY/019W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 4-> ERD Dec 19 | CY Cut Dec 18 |
ERD +15.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| YM MANDATE · 0101 · ONEY/101W | ERD Dec 16 | CY Cut Dec 23-> ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Jan 4 |
ERD +7.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| YM WARRANTY · 0026 · ONEY/026W | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 28-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +2.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| CORNEILLE · 0010 · ONEY/010W | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD -4.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| CORNEILLE · 010 · ONEY/PN1 | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD -4.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| EVER MAGIC · 1431-005W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ONE SAN DIEGO · 0079 · ONEY/080E | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.1d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| EVER SHINE · 0141-155W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE SAN DIEGO · 079 · ONEY/PN1 | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Seattle · USSEA · 4 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WESTWOOD VICTORIA · 146W · WWS/UNKN | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| BRIGHT · 2549W · ESL/UNKN | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KOTA LUKIS · 2508W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC FLORA · 601R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Norfolk · USORF · 36 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC STACEY · FD546E · MSCU/DRAGON | ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +13.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM FIDELIO · 0LBL4E1 · CMDU/TA2 | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +11.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| CMA CGM LEO · 1TUGNN1 · CMDU/LP3 | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +9.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| COSCO HARMONY · 083W · COSU/LP1 | ERD Dec 21 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER MAX · 1333W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Dec 20 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK COLUMBUS · 601E · MAEU/801 | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 1 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK PUELO · 601E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD -1.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 551W · MAEU/801 | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.8d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| APL LE HAVRE · 0INLAE1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +6.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ATLANTIC SKY · ATK6225 · ACLU/ACL-A | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 20 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM MAUPASSANT · 0INLCE1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CAP ANDREAS · 023W · ONEY/WIN | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MSC NIOVI VIII · MZ551R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ATTILA · 0XR9QW1 · CMDU/CBX | ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| NAVIOS CONSTELLATION · 601W · HLCU/US2 | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ZIM BANGKOK · 013W · ZIMU/ZCP | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| EUROPE · UA601A · MSCU/MD | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ENDURANCE · 0MRK2E1 · CMDU/AMERIGO | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK IDAHO · 602E · MAEU/TEX | ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC BARCELONA · MZ552R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ONE MANHATTAN · 043W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD -2.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Moderate |
| YM TRILLION · 017W · YMLU/EC2 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| EVER FAITH · 032E · EGLV/TA2 | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| WAN HAI A03 · W013 · WHLC/AA7 | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| GSL NICOLETTA · 601E · MAEU/AL6 | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK KENSINGTON · 551E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ULSAN EXPRESS · 601W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26401N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26402N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EMMA A · 0USSME1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC BRIDGEPORT · GU552E · MSCU/AMERICA | ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NINGBO EXPRESS · 601E · HLCU/AL3 | ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SEASPAN EMISSARY · 601E · HLCU/TEX | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SINE A · 0USB6E1TK · AXVJ/TURKON-USA | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| TORRENTE · 5248 · HLCU/TPI | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| VIRGINIA EXPRESS · 641W · JRBU/64EX | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Newark · USEWR · 13 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC BARCELONA · 552R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 22-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC SHANGHAI V · 601E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD -3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| CATHERINE C · 602A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ATLANTIC SUN · 6626 · ACLU/UNKN | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EUROPE · 601A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GSL NINGBO · 601E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HYUNDAI SINGAPORE · 601A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KARLSKRONA · 548A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LONDON EXPRESS · 614E · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27-> ERD Mar 24 | CY Cut Mar 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC BERANGERE · 548E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC CARMEN · 602A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC WEST V · 601A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| UMM SALAL · 614W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut Mar 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Oakland · USOAK · 7 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER FORWARD · 1198-027W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 31 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +9.0dCY +8.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| EVER MAGUS · 1432-004W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +6.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| EVER MAGIC · 1431-005W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 23-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +4.0dCY +6.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| GEORGE III · 088W · PHH/UNKN | ERD Dec 11 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Dec 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM TOPAZ · 0009 · ONEY/009W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NYK VENUS · 0082 · ONEY/082W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HANGZHOU BAY · 0060 · ONEY/060W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Los Angeles · USLAX · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYK VENUS · 0FJMIW1MA · CMDU/FUJI | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Jan 1-> ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +14.5dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| EVER MAGUS · 1432-004W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 19 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| DELAWARE EXPRESS · 602W · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 27 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER LEADER · 1199-076W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GERNER MAERSK · 615W · MAEU/708 | ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM TOPAZ · 0009 · ONEY/009W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NYK VENUS · 0082 · ONEY/082W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HANGZHOU BAY · 0060 · ONEY/060W | ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6-> ERD Nov 3 | CY Cut Nov 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Long Beach · USLGB · 10 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMM TOPAZ · 0009 · ONEY/010E | ERD Dec 8 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +6.7dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| XIN FEI ZHOU · 106 · COSU/PSX | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC BETTINA · 552S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Nov 30 | CY Cut Dec 22-> ERD Nov 30 | CY Cut Dec 23 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC ELISABETTA · 548A · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS | ERD Dec 24 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Dec 24 | CY Cut Jan 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COSCO SHIPPING DENALI · 050 · COSU/PVCS | ERD Dec 23 | CY Cut Dec 30-> ERD Dec 26 | CY Cut Jan 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Moderate |
| HMM PERIDOT · 0008 · ONEY/008W | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM TOPAZ · 0009W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC BIANCA SILVIA · 602S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 31-> ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 31 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MARIACRISTINA · 601S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut Dec 24-> ERD Dec 15 | CY Cut Dec 24 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MONICA CRISTINA · 550S · MSCU/DRAGON | ERD Dec 1 | CY Cut Dec 18-> ERD Dec 1 | CY Cut Dec 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMA CGM RED · 602E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 7-> ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 8 |
ERD +6.0dCY +1.3d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM SURABAYA · 601E/W · CMDU/CAGML | ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 25 | CY Cut Jan 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.3d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM MAUPASSANT · 552E/W · CMDU/INDAMEX | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Jan 1 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ONE CONTRIBUTION · 063E/W · ONEY/ADHOC | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ONE MADRID · 028-2 · ONEY/EC3L | ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 25-> ERD Dec 18 | CY Cut Dec 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MANCHESTER · 044-2 · ONEY/EC3L | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29-> ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 29 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
6. Weekly Signal Flags
- CMDU/PEXIII: 4 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
- MSCU/INDUS2: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
- ONEY/EC4: 4 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
7. Ports to Watch
Houston (USHOU) warrants extra buffer this week. 57.1% of vessels classified High, 14.3% showed late-stage movement across 28 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 51.4% of vessels classified High, 51.4% showed late-stage movement across 35 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
8. Close
Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly, see the ladder below for how weekly detection feeds monthly diagnosis. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 11 January 2026. For monthly context, see the January 2026 VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.
Appendix A
Stability classification thresholds and late-stage flag definition carry forward each week from the Safe-to-Gate Weekly framework (v1.1). See the framework document for the full methodology reference.
Explore Related Intelligence
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Bill Hewitt,
Frey Commodities
Frey Commodities
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