THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION
Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of January 24, 2026
Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 18-24 January 2026
Reader's narrative
Savannah ran the week. 43 vessels through the gateway. 67.4% classified High.
The largest single-voyage shift came from COSCO ITALY 079 (OOLU) at Long Beach - ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +20.0d from the originally published window.
The cross-port pattern shows up in carrier-service clusters: MSCU/INDUSA recorded 4 of its 4 vessels High this week. MSCU/MNEUSEC2 recorded 2 of 3. The instability is service-shaped, not just port-shaped.
On the other end of the spectrum, Seattle and Oakland held with zero late-stage movement. The contrast matters: instability is concentrated, not network-wide.
Savannah and Long Beach are on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the ports carry into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.
How to read the publication.
Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 170 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.
Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.
A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly
Sunday 18 January 2026 through Saturday 24 January 2026
Published: Monday 26 January 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-01-18/
1. Weekly Note
This week covers vessel-voyages that departed U.S. export gateways between Sunday 18 January 2026 and Saturday 24 January 2026. Savannah showed the highest share of High classification at 67.4%. Long Beach held the largest single-voyage shift with COSCO ITALY 079 at ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +20.0d. Seattle and Oakland remained the stable baselines with zero late-stage movement. Full vessel tables below.
2. Signal, Not Verdict
Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.
3. Port Summary
| Port | Vessels this week | % High | % Late-stage | Dominant direction | Port stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USSAV Savannah | 43 | 67.4% | 72.1% | Mixed | High |
| USHOU Houston | 26 | 38.5% | 46.2% | Mixed | High |
| USLGB Long Beach | 9 | 22.2% | 66.7% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USORF Norfolk | 32 | 18.8% | 34.4% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USNYC New York | 6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | Early-biased | Elevated |
| USEWR Newark | 8 | 12.5% | 25.0% | Late-biased | Moderate |
| USTIW Tacoma | 8 | 12.5% | 12.5% | Mixed | Moderate |
| USLAX Los Angeles | 15 | 0.0% | 13.3% | Late-biased | Stable |
| USSEA Seattle | 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Stable | Stable |
| USOAK Oakland | 20 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Late-biased | Stable |
Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Charleston (USCHS) had zero departures in the week window and is omitted per framework Section 6.
4. Quick Scan Layer
- Savannah: 72.1% late-stage movement across 43 vessels.
- Houston: 38.5% of vessels classified High across 26 total.
- Long Beach: 66.7% late-stage movement across 9 vessels.
- Norfolk: 32 vessels, Elevated at the port level.
- New York: 6 vessels, Elevated at the port level.
5. Per-Port Vessel Tables
Savannah · USSAV · 43 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEABOARD GEMINI · 00045 · SMLU/SMJS | ERD Dec 30 | CY Cut Jan 5-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +14.0dCY +15.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| JAMAICA · 123E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM RED · RPKXS · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +8.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| COSCO FAITH · 074W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 10-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +8.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MEDKON PEP · CADAS · CMDU/CAGEMA | ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC YORK VII · MZ601 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE GRUS · 029W · ONEY/PEC3 | ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 10-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +8.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM ASIA · 58E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM MOUNT BLANC · 11W · ZIMU/MZCP | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM ATTILA · XR9QW · CMDU/CBX | ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 10-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| EUROPE · UA601 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Jan 4 | CY Cut Jan 10-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| AGIOS DIMITRIOS · MZ603 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM GEMINI · 8W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC TASMAN VI · NO603 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MEISHAN · 029W · ONEY/PEC3 | ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ARTEMIS · PH603 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC NERISSA V · UA603 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 18 | CY Cut Jan 24-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD -3.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC NURIA · UF603 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC PRATITI · IU604 · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Jan 17 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD -3.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| TEMPANOS · 2520W · HLCU/AA7 | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM PHOENIX · INLGE · CMDU/ADHOC | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM SAMSON · XRSSW · CMDU/CBX | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC TOMOKO · MG552 · MSCU/MMEDGULF | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| OOCL GUANGZHOU · 173E · OOLU/EMA | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CATHERINE C · UA602 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CCNI ANGOL · 604W · MAEU/GTP11US1 | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK SEBAROK · 603E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ONE MAJESTY · 0023W · ONEY/WIN | ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| TAIPEI TRIUMPH · 037W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM LYRA · TUGVN · CMDU/OAAWE3 | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +5.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| KAAN KALKAVAN · USBCE · TRKU/TURKON | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| AIN SNAN EXPRESS · 603W · HLCU/GTP16US4 | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| COSCO SHIPPING CAMELLIA · 030W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| EVER FAIR · 024W · EGLV/OAAWE4 | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut Jan 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| GSL ELENI · 602E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC UNIFIC VI · IV549 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| AIAS · AGSIS · CMDU/ADHOC | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 603E · HLCU/GTEX | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK NEWHAVEN · 604S · MAEU/SAE | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK STRALSUND · 603W · MAEU/GTP11US1 | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC ELENI · NO604 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR COSTA RICA · 604S · MAEU/NAE ACX | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| TITAN · 041W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Houston · USHOU · 26 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC MARINA · IV601R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC MARINA · IV601R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Dec 28 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM WILMINGTON · 23W · ZIMU/LONESTAR | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM WILMINGTON · 23W · ZIMU/LONESTAR | ERD Dec 29 | CY Cut Jan 2-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC TIANJIN · MG602E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +10.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC TIANJIN · MG602E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 6-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +10.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| CMA CGM LAMARTINE · 0VBLIE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM LAMARTINE · 0VBLIE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| KARLSKRONA · IV603R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| KARLSKRONA · IV603R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| GARDINER · 605S · MSCU/GOX | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD -5.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| GARDINER · 605S · MSCU/GOX | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD -5.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK STADELHORN · 603W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 12-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 13 |
ERD +5.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK STADELHORN · 603W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 12-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 13 |
ERD +5.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| GSL EFFIE · 604W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| GSL EFFIE · 604W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM FIGARO · 0PGMKW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM FIGARO · 0PGMKW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK DETROIT · 602E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK DETROIT · 602E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM MERCANTOUR · 0GBESS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM MERCANTOUR · 0GBESS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| RDO CONCORD · 602E · HLCU/MGX | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| RDO CONCORD · 602E · HLCU/MGX | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| RUBY TOWER · 0002W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| RUBY TOWER · 0002W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Long Beach · USLGB · 9 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO ITALY · 079 · OOLU/PCC1 | ERD Dec 22 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +17.0dCY +20.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| HMM EMERALD · 0011 · ONEY/012E | ERD Dec 14 | CY Cut Dec 26-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 9 |
ERD +17.3dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| SEASPAN HAMBURG · 601 · HLCU/PANZ | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| OOCL BRUSSELS · 067 · OOLU/ADHOC | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +5.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| OOCL UTAH · 081 · COSU/PSX | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +1.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| HMM EMERALD · 0011W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 8-> ERD Jan 1 | CY Cut Jan 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC ROSA M · 604S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| OOCL SUNFLOWER · 007 · OOLU/PVCS | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.4d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK BISCAYNE · 602 · MAEU/PANZ | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Norfolk · USORF · 32 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC MAPUTO · GU602E · MSCU/AMERICA | ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +9.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC NERISSA V · NO603E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 3 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC THAIS · FD549E · MSCU/DRAGON | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ONE GRUS · 029W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MOL CHARISMA · 234W · ONEY/EC1 | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM TITAN · 1TUGZN1 · CMDU/LP3 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +2.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ONE MILLAU · 045W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +7.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| TUCAPEL · 5249 · HLCU/TPI | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +7.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 603E · MAEU/801 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 22-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY -6.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC DARIEN · MZ602R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC WEST V · MZ602R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM PHOENIX · 0LBXGE1 · CMDU/TA2 | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK TENNESSEE · 601W · MAEU/801 | ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ONE AQUILA · 030W · ONEY/EC2 | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM RIMBAUD · 0XR9UW1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK DETROIT · 602E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| WAN HAI A15 · W007 · WHLC/AA7 | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ATLANTIC SAIL · ATS5726 · ACLU/ACL-A | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM RIMBAUD · 0INLIE1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ZIM ASIA · 058E · ZIMU/AL7 | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| COSCO SHIPPING CAMELLIA · 030W · COSU/LP1 | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| HYUNDAI SINGAPORE · IU602R · MSCU/INDX | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| TALOS · 1335W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MADRID EXPRESS · 603W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 10 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC PRELUDE V · MZ603R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| BASLE EXPRESS · 604W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CAUQUENES · 603W · HLCU/US2 | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26404N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26404N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC TASMAN VI · NO603E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR COSTA RICA · 604S · MAEU/NAE | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SFL MAUI · 604E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMA CGM TITAN · 1TUGZN1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MOL CHARISMA · 234W · ONEY/EC1 | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.3d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 601E/W · CMDU/CAGML | ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 11 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CAPE HELLAS · 014E/W · ONEY/AMERXL | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MOL CHARISMA · 234E/W · ONEY/ADHOC | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MILLAU · 045-2 · ONEY/EC3L | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Newark · USEWR · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLANTIC STAR · 6426 · ACLU/UNKN | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC THAIS · 549E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 12-> ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| AGIOS DIMITRIOS · 550A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| BREMEN · 604E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MARIANNA I · 549A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC CHIARA X · 603E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MAGNUM VII · 604A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC PRATITI · 604R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Tacoma · USTIW · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER ELITE · 0143-179W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 7 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK SARNIA · 605W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 20 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +7.0dCY +6.3d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| ONE MATRIX · 101 · ONEY/PN3 | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD -4.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| YM FOUNTAIN · 0182 · ONEY/182W | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 18 |
ERD -3.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Moderate |
| SANTA BARBARA · 604W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD -1.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| EVER MEMO · 1433-009W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HYUNDAI NEPTUNE · 0041 · ONEY/041W | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MATRIX · 0101 · ONEY/101W | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 22-> ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Los Angeles · USLAX · 15 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER MACRO · 1434-006W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 2 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 13 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| EVER MILD · 1435-008W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| COYHAIQUE · 552W · HLCU/712 | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER FAR · 1201W · EGLV/CPS | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER MILD · 1435-008E · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GANGES · 015W · PCIU/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GANGES · 015W · ZIMU/ZEX | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GERNER MAERSK · 605W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GUDRUN MAERSK · 604W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GUTHORM MAERSK · 604W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 12-> ERD Jan 6 | CY Cut Jan 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MISSOURI EXPRESS · 603W · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 12-> ERD Jan 5 | CY Cut Jan 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE COMPETENCE · 0096 · ONEY/096W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE COMPETENCE · 0096 · ONEY/096W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE COMPETENCE · 096W · ONEY/PS3 | ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 9-> ERD Jan 9 | CY Cut Jan 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM UNICORN · 078W · YMLU/PS3 | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 14 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Seattle · USSEA · 3 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BELLAVIA · 066S · COSU/UNKN | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM NORMA · 0TNHG · CMDU/UNKN | ERD Nov 24 | CY Cut Nov 28-> ERD Nov 24 | CY Cut Nov 28 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SM PORTLAND · 2508W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Oakland · USOAK · 20 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER MACRO · 1434-006W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| GUTHORM MAERSK · 604W · MAEU/708 | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM EMERALD · 011W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM EMERALD · 011W · HDMU/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM PEARL · 010W · HDMU/UNKN | ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| JANET MARIE · 066W · PHH/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| JANET MARIE · 066W · PSHI/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK MAMMOTH · 603S · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC Athos · 550A · MSCU/CAX | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC Calais · 602R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC Elisabetta · 603R · MSCU/CAX | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 21 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC Giulia · 549A · MSCU/CAX | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MARTINA MARIA · 604S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE Competence · 096W · ONEY/PS3 | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE COMPETENCE · 0096 · ONEY/096W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| PRESIDENT JQ ADAMS · 0DBNA · CMDU/EX1APL | ERD Nov 25 | CY Cut Dec 1-> ERD Nov 25 | CY Cut Dec 1 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| WAN HAI A12 · 008W · WHLC/UNKN | ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Jan 12 | CY Cut Jan 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM Upsurgence · 076W · YMLU/PS4 | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 20-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM WORTH · 0050 · ONEY/050W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM WORTH · 050W · YMLU/UNKN | ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22-> ERD Jan 15 | CY Cut Jan 22 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
6. Weekly Signal Flags
- MSCU/INDUSA: 4 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
- MSCU/MNEUSEC2: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
- Oakland baseline stability: zero late-stage movement observed across 20 vessels.
7. Ports to Watch
Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 67.4% of vessels classified High, 72.1% showed late-stage movement across 43 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Long Beach (USLGB) warrants extra buffer this week. 22.2% of vessels classified High, 66.7% showed late-stage movement across 9 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
8. Close
Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly, see the ladder below for how weekly detection feeds monthly diagnosis. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 25 January 2026. For monthly context, see the January 2026 VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.
Appendix A
Stability classification thresholds and late-stage flag definition carry forward each week from the Safe-to-Gate Weekly framework (v1.1). See the framework document for the full methodology reference.
Explore Related Intelligence
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Bill Hewitt,
Frey Commodities
Frey Commodities
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