THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION
Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of February 14, 2026
Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 8-14 February 2026
Reader's narrative
Savannah ran the week. 37 vessels through the gateway. 67.6% classified High.
The largest single-voyage shift came from EVER FAVOR 022W (EGLV) at Savannah - ERD +26.0d and CY Cut +26.0d from the originally published window.
Savannah, Long Beach, and Tacoma are on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the ports carry into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.
How to read the publication.
Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 169 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.
Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.
A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly
Sunday 8 February 2026 through Saturday 14 February 2026
Published: Monday 16 February 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-02-08/
1. Weekly Note
This week covers vessel-voyages that departed U.S. export gateways between Sunday 8 February 2026 and Saturday 14 February 2026. Savannah showed the highest share of High classification at 67.6%. Savannah held the largest single-voyage shift with EVER FAVOR 022W at ERD +26.0d and CY Cut +26.0d. Full vessel tables below.
2. Signal, Not Verdict
Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.
3. Port Summary
| Port | Vessels this week | % High | % Late-stage | Dominant direction | Port stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USSAV Savannah | 37 | 67.6% | 62.2% | Mixed | High |
| USLAX Los Angeles | 9 | 44.4% | 44.4% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USEWR Newark | 16 | 43.8% | 43.8% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USHOU Houston | 26 | 38.5% | 53.8% | Mixed | High |
| USLGB Long Beach | 11 | 27.3% | 72.7% | Late-biased | High |
| USNYC New York | 8 | 25.0% | 50.0% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USTIW Tacoma | 5 | 20.0% | 60.0% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USOAK Oakland | 24 | 8.3% | 8.3% | Mixed | Moderate |
| USORF Norfolk | 27 | 3.7% | 22.2% | Mixed | Moderate |
| USSEA Seattle | 6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | Late-biased | Stable |
Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Charleston (USCHS) had zero departures in the week window and is omitted per framework Section 6.
4. Quick Scan Layer
- Savannah: 62.2% late-stage movement across 37 vessels.
- Los Angeles: 44.4% of vessels classified High across 9 total.
- Newark: 43.8% of vessels classified High across 16 total.
- Houston: 53.8% late-stage movement across 26 vessels.
- Long Beach: 72.7% late-stage movement across 11 vessels.
5. Per-Port Vessel Tables
Savannah · USSAV · 37 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER FAVOR · 022W · EGLV/OAAWE4 | ERD Jan 8 | CY Cut Jan 14-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +26.0dCY +26.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM MOUNT FUJI · 9W · ZIMU/MZCP | ERD Jan 18 | CY Cut Jan 24-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +13.0dCY +13.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| HMM VICTORY · 058W · HDMU/PEC2 | ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut Jan 28-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +11.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| AL MANAMAH · 605E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 | ERD Jan 24 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| BRIGHTON · 023E · ONEY/OAONEAT2 | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Jan 31-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +9.0dCY +10.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ROSARIA · UF605 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 2-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM LOUGA · RPL3S · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut Jan 28-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +9.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ANAHITA · IU606 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Jan 24 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +9.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC FLORENTINA · NO604 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MARIUS · 6410 · MARFRET USA INC/RTWSB | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +7.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE HONOLULU · 228W · ONEY/PEC1 | ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| BERNHARD SCHULTE · 269E · COSU/EMA | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 2-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +6.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| COSCO PRIDE · 086W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC VIGO · NO605 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC EVEREST VIII · MG602 · MSCU/MMEDGULF | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 2-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE FALCON · 031W · ONEY/PEC3 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD -2.0dCY -2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC URSULA VI · UA605 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| NAGOYA EXPRESS · 5252 · HLCU/INDAMEX | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ARTEMIS · PH606 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER MERCY · 005W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| LONDON EXPRESS · 606E · HLCU/GTEX | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MH PEGASUS · XR9YW · CMDU/CBX | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MOL ENDOWMENT · 100W · ONEY/EMA | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 10-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC VERACRUZ V · IU607 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ZIM PACIFIC · 358E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ONE OWL · 032W · ONEY/PEC2 | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| ZIM ATLANTIC · 39E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut Jan 28-> ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Jan 31 |
ERD +4.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MSC MICHAELA · IV552 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Moderate |
| WAN HAI A13 · W008 · WHLC/AA7 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD -3.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| PORTO CHELI · 605E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD -2.0dCY -2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CARMEL I · 33E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK DENVER · 606E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ZIM DIAMOND · 6W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM CONGO · XR9WW · CMDU/CBX | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LUDWIGSHAFEN EXPRESS · 605W · HLCU/GTP16US4 | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 7 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MARGARETE SCHULTE · 606S · MAEU/SAE | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR COSTA RICA · 607S · MAEU/NAE ACX | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Los Angeles · USLAX · 9 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONE HAMMERSMITH · 0088 · ONEY/088W | ERD Jan 13 | CY Cut Jan 16-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +19.5dCY +19.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE HAMMERSMITH · 0FJMSW1MA · CMDU/FUJI | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +10.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| EVER MODE · 1437-006W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| NYK ROMULUS · 077E · ONEY/AL5 | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD -1.0dCY -6.4d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| HAWK I · 010W · ZIMU/ZX2 | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.4d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| EVER LEGACY · 1204W · CMDU/HBB | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GERD MAERSK · 607W · MAEU/706 | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HAMMERSMITH · · HDMU/FP1 | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ZIM SPARROW · 005W · ZIMU/ZX2 | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Jan 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Newark · USEWR · 16 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC FLAVIA · 606S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC GIOVANNA VII · 552A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC SINDY · 606E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 10-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CISNES · 607W · MAEU/716 | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| COLOMBO EXPRESS · 607W · MAEU/712 | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK FORTALEZA · 607S · MAEU/UHC | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| PORTO GERMENO · 607E · MAEU/803 | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ATLANTIC SUN · 6826 · ACLU/UNKN | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LONDON EXPRESS · 606E · MAEU/810 | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Jan 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 606E · MAEU/812 | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC JUBILEE IX · 606E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC KIM · 606A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC LUCY · 605R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC YAMUNA VI · 606A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MAGNIFICENCE · 083W · ONEY/UNKN | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| PUSAN C · 607E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 10-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Houston · USHOU · 26 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC RIDA · GN605W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +14.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC RIDA · GN605W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 23-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +14.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| HYUNDAI GOODWILL · 138W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| HYUNDAI GOODWILL · 138W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC TOMOKO · MG605E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Jan 27-> ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC TOMOKO · MG605E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Jan 27-> ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC KRYSTAL · IV605R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Jan 27-> ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +5.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC KRYSTAL · IV605R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Jan 27-> ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +5.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC PETRA · 605S · MSCU/SCS | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC PETRA · 605S · MSCU/SCS | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM RHONE · 0PGMQW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +5.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| CMA CGM RHONE · 0PGMQW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +5.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MAERSK OHIO · 605E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +7.0dCY +6.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK OHIO · 605E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +7.0dCY +6.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| AIAS · 0YKBNS1MA · CMDU/YUKA | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| AIAS · 0YKBNS1MA · CMDU/YUKA | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK KANSAS · 607E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK KANSAS · 607E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK NANSHA · 607S · MAEU/GOX | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK NANSHA · 607S · MAEU/GOX | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK KANSAS · 606E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +2.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK KANSAS · 606E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +2.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK SENANG · 605E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD -3.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK SENANG · 605E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD -3.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK OHIO · 606E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK OHIO · 606E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Long Beach · USLGB · 11 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMM OPAL · 0009 · ONEY/010E | ERD Jan 14 | CY Cut Jan 26-> ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +5.0dCY +8.1d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| HMM OPAL · 0009W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 19 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +5.1d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC GAIA · 604S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE | ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Jan 28-> ERD Jan 16 | CY Cut Feb 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.8d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| COSCO BELGIUM · 083 · OOLU/PCC1 | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +4.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| COSCO OCEANIA · 111W · COSU/UNKN | ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +5.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC RANIA · 605S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE | ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Feb 2-> ERD Jan 21 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| XIN FEI ZHOU · 107 · COSU/PSX | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.1d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| COSCO SHIPPING CARNATION · 004 · COSU/PVCS | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| SEALAND BALBOA · 607S · MAEU/U8E | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK NILE · 607S · MAEU/U8E | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK YOSEMITE · 605 · MAEU/PANZ | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
New York · USNYC · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDISON · 1TUH7N1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +11.3d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CYPRESS · 606E/W · CMDU/ADHOC | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +1.0dCY -0.7d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ONE MILANO · 031-2 · ONEY/EC3L | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 8 |
ERD +0.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM BEIRA · 607E/W · CMDU/AMERXL | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 605E/W · CMDU/CAGML | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM INNOVATION · 605E/W · CMDU/AMRGO | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.3d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| Mol Endowment · 100E · ONEY/EMA | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MONACO · 029-2 · ONEY/EC3L | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Tacoma · USTIW · 5 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVER SUMMIT · 0146-128W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| YM MASCULINITY · 0103 · ONEY/103W | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD -6.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| HYUNDAI SUPREME · 0155 · ONEY/155W | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 10 |
ERD -1.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| SKAGEN MAERSK · 607W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD -1.0dCY -0.7d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| YM THRONE · 0019 · ONEY/019W | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Oakland · USOAK · 24 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEORGE III · 092W · PHH/UNKN | ERD Jan 22 | CY Cut Feb 10-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +14.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| CMA CGM J. ADAMS · 1TUGD · CMDU/CJX | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 16-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 13 |
ERD +6.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| EVER MACH · 1436-014E · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| EVER MACH · 1436-014W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut Jan 29-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +4.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| ONE SPRINTER · 003W · ONEY/PS7 | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC GAIA · GO604S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK ALTAIR · 607W · MAEU/708 | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.4d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| HMM OPAL · 009W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| PRESIDENT LB JOHNSON · 0DBNG · CMDU/UNKN | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM PANAMA · 1TUGD · CMDU/CJX | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM SEATTLE · 0Y1L5 · CMDU/PS1ANL | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER MODE · 1437-006E · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GUNDE MAERSK · 606W · MAEU/708 | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM DIAMOND · 008W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM OPAL · 0009 · ONEY/009W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM OPAL · 009W · HDMU/UNKN | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MOL CELEBRATION · 0103 · ONEY/103W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC FREYA · 606S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC GAIA · 604S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC RANIA VIII · GO605S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HAMMERSMITH · 0088 · ONEY/088W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE SINGAPORE · 516W · ONEY/PS7 | ERD Feb 9 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 9 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM TRANQUILITY · 018W · YMLU/UNKN | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM UPWARD · 0098 · ONEY/098W | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 27-> ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut Jan 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Norfolk · USORF · 27 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZIM MOUNT FUJI · 009W · ZIMU/ZCP | ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM FIDELIO · 0LBLGE1 · CMDU/TA2 | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +6.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ONE HONOLULU · 228W · ONEY/EC1 | ERD Jan 25 | CY Cut Jan 30-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 4 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| TAURUS · 1338W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +5.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC YAMUNA VI · UA606A · MSCU/MD | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 606E · MAEU/AL6 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ONE MILANO · 031W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK ATLANTA · 604E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 28 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC SHANELLE V · IU606R · MSCU/INDX | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK COLUMBUS · 604W · MAEU/801 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC VIGO · NO605E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| OOCL SEOUL · 117E · COSU/TA2 | ERD Jan 17 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 20 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| SFL HAWAII · 606E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 2-> ERD Jan 27 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ONE FALCON · 031W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Feb 6 | CY Cut Feb 13-> ERD Feb 4 | CY Cut Feb 13 |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| TUBUL · 2508W · HLCU/AA7 | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ATLANTIC SEA · ATE6326 · ACLU/ACL-A | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| BREMEN EXPRESS · 6201 · HLCU/TPI | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26406N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26406N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KANDLA EXPRESS · 606W · HLCU/US2 | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LONDON EXPRESS · 606E · HLCU/TEX | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MOL ENDOWMENT · 100E · ONEY/AL8 | ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6-> ERD Jan 31 | CY Cut Feb 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC DORADO VIII · IU605R · MSCU/INDX | ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 26 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR COSTA RICA · 607S · MAEU/NAE | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| PORTO GERMENO · 607E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9-> ERD Feb 3 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ROME EXPRESS · 606W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ZIM PACIFIC · 358E · ZIMU/AL7 | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Seattle · USSEA · 6 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC RIKKU · 606R · MSCU/CHINOOK | ERD Jan 30 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 9 |
ERD +3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| GREENVILLE · 606A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MH PERSEUS · 0TNUF · CMDU/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| OOCL SAN FRANCISCO · 193W · OOLU/UNKN | ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11-> ERD Feb 5 | CY Cut Feb 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SM QINGDAO · 2601W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5-> ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SUVA CHIEF · 002W · QWJ/UNKN | ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3-> ERD Jan 29 | CY Cut Feb 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
6. Weekly Signal Flags
No cross-port or cross-carrier-service patterns this week beyond what is visible in the Port Summary.
7. Ports to Watch
Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 67.6% of vessels classified High, 62.2% showed late-stage movement across 37 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Long Beach (USLGB) warrants extra buffer this week. 27.3% of vessels classified High, 72.7% showed late-stage movement across 11 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Tacoma (USTIW) warrants extra buffer this week. 20.0% of vessels classified High, 60.0% showed late-stage movement across 5 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
8. Close
Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly, see the ladder below for how weekly detection feeds monthly diagnosis. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 15 February 2026. For monthly context, see the February 2026 VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.
Appendix A
Stability classification thresholds and late-stage flag definition carry forward each week from the Safe-to-Gate Weekly framework (v1.1). See the framework document for the full methodology reference.
Explore Related Intelligence
MONTHLY · DIAGNOSIS
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MONTHLY · EVIDENCEVSSI Monthly
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Terminal-level structural measurement across the quarter.
Bill Hewitt,
Frey Commodities
Frey Commodities
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