THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION
Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of March 7, 2026
Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 1-7 March 2026
Reader's narrative
Savannah ran the week. 33 vessels through the gateway. 78.8% classified High.
The largest single-voyage shift came from ONE MANEUVER 080E (ONEY) at Norfolk - ERD +22.0d and CY Cut +20.0d from the originally published window.
The cross-port pattern shows up in carrier-service clusters: CMDU/VICTORY recorded 4 of its 4 vessels High this week. EGLV/UNKN recorded 5 of 10. The instability is service-shaped, not just port-shaped.
Savannah, Houston, and Oakland are on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the ports carry into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.
How to read the publication.
Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 185 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.
Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.
A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly
Sunday 1 March 2026 through Saturday 7 March 2026
Published: Monday 9 March 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-03-01/
1. Weekly Note
This week covers vessel-voyages that departed U.S. export gateways between Sunday 1 March 2026 and Saturday 7 March 2026. Savannah showed the highest share of High classification at 78.8%. Norfolk held the largest single-voyage shift with ONE MANEUVER 080E at ERD +22.0d and CY Cut +20.0d. Full vessel tables below.
2. Signal, Not Verdict
Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.
3. Port Summary
| Port | Vessels this week | % High | % Late-stage | Dominant direction | Port stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USSAV Savannah | 33 | 78.8% | 75.8% | Mixed | High |
| USHOU Houston | 32 | 56.2% | 68.8% | Mixed | High |
| USORF Norfolk | 34 | 38.2% | 50.0% | Mixed | High |
| USTIW Tacoma | 8 | 37.5% | 37.5% | Mixed | High |
| USEWR Newark | 20 | 35.0% | 45.0% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USSEA Seattle | 9 | 33.3% | 33.3% | Mixed | High |
| USNYC New York | 6 | 33.3% | 33.3% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USOAK Oakland | 13 | 30.8% | 38.5% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USLAX Los Angeles | 17 | 23.5% | 17.6% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USLGB Long Beach | 13 | 15.4% | 30.8% | Mixed | Elevated |
Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Charleston (USCHS) had zero departures in the week window and is omitted per framework Section 6.
4. Quick Scan Layer
- Savannah: 75.8% late-stage movement across 33 vessels.
- Houston: 68.8% late-stage movement across 32 vessels.
- Norfolk: 50.0% late-stage movement across 34 vessels.
- Tacoma: 37.5% of vessels classified High across 8 total.
- Newark: 35.0% of vessels classified High across 20 total.
5. Per-Port Vessel Tables
Savannah · USSAV · 33 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARIANNE SCHULTE · RPL7S · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Feb 7 | CY Cut Feb 13-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +13.0dCY +13.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM CHINA · 50E · ZIMU/ZCA | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 17-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +13.0dCY +13.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC SHANGHAI V · NO607 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Feb 13 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +10.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC YORK VII · IU608 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Feb 10 | CY Cut Feb 16-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM ARIES · 9W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Feb 13 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +10.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| HYUNDAI PLUTO · 044W · ONEY/PEC2 | ERD Feb 12 | CY Cut Feb 18-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +9.0dCY +9.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| EVER FORE · 022W · EGLV/OAAWE4 | ERD Feb 13 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK SERANGOON · 607E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +5.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| OOCL IRIS · 005W · OOLU/OALP2 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 21-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK GATESHEAD · 608E · MAEU/GTEX | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC MEXICO V · MZ608 · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Feb 13 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE TRITON · 120E · ONEY/OAONEAT2 | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +4.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM ALEXANDRITE · 5W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM ABU DHABI · RPL9S · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +3.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CONTI CONTESSA · 023W · ONEY/PEC1 | ERD Feb 28 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD -2.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ARTEMIS · PH609 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER MATCH · 003W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD -2.0dCY -2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC INIYA V · IU608 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC NIOVI VIII · MZ610 · MSCU/MMEDGULF | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC ROCHELLE · UA608 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 21-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| SUAPE EXPRESS · 609E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD -2.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM BRAZIL · TUHNN · CMDU/OAAWE3 | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CORNELIA MAERSK · 609E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| STEPHANIE C · 6203 · HLCU/INDAMEX | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM PALMYRE · XRA2W · CMDU/CBX | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| GREENLAND · IV602 · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| COSCO SHIPPING ORCHID · 032W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 17-> ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 21 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MSC BARCELONA · MZ609 · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MSC LE HAVRE · MG606 · MSCU/MMEDGULF | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM NEVA · RPKSN · CMDU/RTWNB | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| DORTMUND EXPRESS · 608W · HLCU/GTP16US4 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 28 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GREENLAND · IV602A · MSCU/INDUS2 | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LUCIE SCHULTE · 610S · MAEU/SAE | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Houston · USHOU · 32 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM MOVEMENT · V0084W · YMLU/EC4 | ERD Feb 8 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +14.0dCY +15.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| YM MOVEMENT · V0084W · YMLU/EC4 | ERD Feb 8 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +14.0dCY +15.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MAESTRO · 084W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MAESTRO · 084W · ONEY/EC4 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +10.0dCY +12.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC GHANA · MG608E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC GHANA · MG608E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC JAVELIN IX · GN608W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 17-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC JAVELIN IX · GN608W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 17-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK GARONNE · 608E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +4.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK GARONNE · 608E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +4.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC SYDNEY VI · NH609R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC SYDNEY VI · NH609R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| KLEVEN · IV608R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD -1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| KLEVEN · IV608R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD -1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| APL MINNESOTA · 0VBLSE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| APL MINNESOTA · 0VBLSE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| OOCL BREMERHAVEN · 014E · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| OOCL BREMERHAVEN · 014E · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 610W · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 610W · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| APL NEW JERSEY · 0GBF6S1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| APL NEW JERSEY · 0GBF6S1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ALMAVIVA · 0PGMYW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ALMAVIVA · 0PGMYW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK SAIGON · 609W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK SAIGON · 609W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COSCO JEDDAH · 093W · COSU/GME | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COSCO JEDDAH · 093W · COSU/GME | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 610E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK MONTANA · 610E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC PILAR VI · NH608R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC PILAR VI · NH608R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Norfolk · USORF · 34 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONE MANEUVER · 080E · ONEY/AMERIGO | ERD Feb 1 | CY Cut Feb 13-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +22.0dCY +20.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MAERSK COLUMBUS · 608E · MAEU/801 | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD -3.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| MAERSK MEMPHIS · 608E · MAEU/AL6 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +9.0dCY +12.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ANCHORAGE · IU610R · MSCU/INDX | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +11.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ZIM VIRGINIA · 155E · ZIMU/AL7 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +10.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER FAITH · 033E · EGLV/TA2 | ERD Feb 14 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM VERDI · 0INLSE1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MINATO · 028W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +4.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC NERISSA V · GU609E · MSCU/EXTRA | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ONE BLUE JAY · 040W · ONEY/EC2 | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +3.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| SAN FRANCISCO BRIDGE · 084W · ONEY/WIN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MAERSK IDAHO · 610E · MAEU/TEX | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK HARTFORD · 608E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| PL GERMANY · 609E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| EVER MAGI · 1340W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Feb 12 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| APL OREGON · 0INLUE1 · CMDU/EIS | ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ATLANTIC STAR · AST6626 · ACLU/ACL-A | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +5.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| EVER MODEL · 1341W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +5.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ZIM CHINA · 050E · ZIMU/AL7 | ERD Feb 9 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 14 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +5.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CAUTIN · 2516W · HLCU/AA7 | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC TEXAS · IU608R · MSCU/AMERICA | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ZIM MOUNT VINSON · 009W · ZIMU/ZCP | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CONTI CONTESSA · 023W · ONEY/EC1 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY -3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| HYUNDAI PLUTO · 044W · ONEY/EC2 | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| NHAVA SHEVA EXPRESS · 609W · HLCU/US2 | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM BRAZIL · 1TUHNN1 · CMDU/LP3 | ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| GSL C ELISABETH · 609E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 14 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC AUDREY · FD603E · MSCU/DRAGON | ERD Feb 14 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC BREMEN · UA608A · MSCU/MD | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC TASMAN VI · NO608E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| OOCL GUANGZHOU · 174E · OOLU/AL8 | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26410N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HONG KONG EXPRESS · 609W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR COSTA RICA · 610S · MAEU/NAE | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Tacoma · USTIW · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SANTA BARBARA · 611W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +8.0dCY +6.3d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ONE SAN DIEGO · 0080 · ONEY/081E | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER SHINE · 0149-156W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| YM MANDATE · 0601 · ONEY/601W | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| BUDAPEST EXPRESS · 610W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| HMM PRIDE · 0055 · ONEY/055W | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE SAN DIEGO · 080 · ONEY/PN1 | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM MUTUALITY · 0111 · ONEY/111W | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Newark · USEWR · 20 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC JOSSELINE · 604E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC NERISSA V · 609E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +6.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC UBERTY VIII · 608W · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC ANCHORAGE · 609E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD -3.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| MSC ANNABELLA · 605E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +2.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| WAN HAI A10 · W012 · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ATLANTIC STAR · 6626 · ACLU/UNKN | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD -1.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| ANTWERPEN EXPRESS · 610W · MAEU/716 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| C HAMBURG · 610E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY -1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| AMERICA · 609R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KYOTO EXPRESS · 2527W · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30-> ERD Mar 25 | CY Cut Mar 30 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK GATESHEAD · 608E · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Feb 10 | CY Cut Feb 13-> ERD Feb 10 | CY Cut Feb 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK NACALA · 614S · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Mar 31-> ERD Mar 27 | CY Cut Mar 31 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK TAIKUNG · 608W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC INIYA V · 603A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC YOKOHAMA · 603A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NHAVA SHEVA EXPRESS · 609W · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| PL GERMANY · 609E · MAEU/803 | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SAN FRANCISCO BRIDGE · 084W · ONEY/UNKN | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| WIELAND · 609S · MAEU/UHC | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 20 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Seattle · USSEA · 9 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC ADONIS · 610R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC LISBON · 609R · MSCU/CHINOOK | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC LISBON IX · 609R · MSCU/CHINOOK | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM OTELLO · 0TNHS · CMDU/CPNW | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| VALUE · 609R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +5.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ESL MOMBASA · 2606W · ESL/UNKN | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ANL WARRNAMBOOL · 610S · ANL/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM YUKON · 0TNUG · CMDU/CPNW | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| WESTWOOD VICTORIA · 147W · WWS/UNKN | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APL OREGON · 610E/W · CMDU/INDAMEX | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +3.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| CMA CGM BLUE · 609E/W · CMDU/RTWPAN | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +2.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| CMA CGM VERDI · 609E/W · CMDU/INDAMEX | ERD Feb 15 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 19 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ARISTOTE · 609E/W · CMDU/CAGML | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM T. JEFFERSON · 1TUHRN1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 1-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 1 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MANEUVER · 080E/W · ONEY/AMRGO | ERD Feb 8 | CY Cut Feb 12-> ERD Feb 8 | CY Cut Feb 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Oakland · USOAK · 13 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JANET MARIE · 069W · PHH/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Feb 18-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER MAGUS · 1439-005W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +7.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM MEXICO · 1TUGL · CMDU/CJX | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +4.0dCY +5.6d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| EVER LEADER · 1206-077W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +1.1dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| GEORG MAERSK · 609W · MAEU/708 | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 24-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.6d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| GERDA MAERSK · 610W · MAEU/708 | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.6d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| EVER FINE · 1207-025W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +1.0dCY +2.3d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| EVER LASTING · 1207-091W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER MAGIC · 1440-006W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM NURI · 018W · HDMU/UNKN | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM TURQUOISE · 008W · HDMU/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LONG BEACH EXPRESS · 609S · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC TANZANIA · 608S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Los Angeles · USLAX · 17 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONE ALTAIR · 0072 · ONEY/072W | ERD Feb 2 | CY Cut Feb 4-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 24 |
ERD +17.0dCY +20.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MGNA · 1440-003W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 20-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Mar 2 |
ERD +12.0dCY +10.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| EVER MAGNA · 1440-003W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD -3.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| PRESIDENT JQ ADAMS · 0DBNOW1PL · APL/EX1 | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER FINE · 1207W · CMDU/HBB | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +3.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| CMA CGM ARGENTINA · 1TUGPW1MA · CMDU/LP3 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM WHITE SHARK · 0GVLZW1MA · CMDU/EXX | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM XIAMEN · 0TXMGW1MA · CMDU/LP1 | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER MAGNA · 1441-003W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GERDA MAERSK · 610W · MAEU/708 | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KANDLA EXPRESS · 606W · MAEU/712 | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK ALFIRK · 614W · MAEU/706 | ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26-> ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut Mar 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MGNA · 1441-003W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MISSOURI EXPRESS · 609W · MAEU/707 | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NYK DEMETER · 122E · ONEY/AL5 | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM UBIQUITY · 0075 · ONEY/075W | ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ZIM ALBATROSS · 012W · ZIMU/ZX2 | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Long Beach · USLGB · 13 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO ITALY · 080 · OOLU/PCC1 | ERD Feb 9 | CY Cut Feb 13-> ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +9.0dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK GLACIER · 610S · MAEU/U8E | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MATE · 607 · MAEU/PANZ | ERD Feb 16 | CY Cut Feb 19-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +7.0dCY +7.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Elevated |
| MSC GAYANE · 608S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE | ERD Feb 11 | CY Cut Feb 23-> ERD Feb 17 | CY Cut Feb 23 |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COSCO AFRICA · 099W · COSU/UNKN | ERD Feb 18 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COSCO SPAIN · 077 · COSU/PVCS | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD -1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| CSCL EAST CHINA SEA · 075W · CHN/UNKN | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| OOCL UTAH · 082 · COSU/PSX | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| HMM TOPAZ · 0010 · ONEY/010W | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM TOPAZ · 0010W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| KMTC NINGBO · 2601W · KMD/UNKN | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26-> ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 26 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC LORENZA · 609S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SM LONG BEACH · 2601W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Feb 20 | CY Cut Feb 25 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
6. Weekly Signal Flags
- CMDU/VICTORY: 4 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
- EGLV/UNKN: 5 of this carrier-service's 10 vessels this week classified High.
- MSCU/MEX GULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
- MSCU/UNKN: 5 of this carrier-service's 9 vessels this week classified High.
7. Ports to Watch
Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 78.8% of vessels classified High, 75.8% showed late-stage movement across 33 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Houston (USHOU) warrants extra buffer this week. 56.2% of vessels classified High, 68.8% showed late-stage movement across 32 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
Oakland (USOAK) warrants extra buffer this week. 30.8% of vessels classified High, 38.5% showed late-stage movement across 13 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
8. Close
Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly, see the ladder below for how weekly detection feeds monthly diagnosis. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 8 March 2026. For monthly context, see the March 2026 VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.
Appendix A
Stability classification thresholds and late-stage flag definition carry forward each week from the Safe-to-Gate Weekly framework (v1.1). See the framework document for the full methodology reference.
Explore Related Intelligence
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Bill Hewitt,
Frey Commodities
Frey Commodities
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