THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION
Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of March 21, 2026
Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly · 15-21 March 2026
Reader's narrative
Savannah ran the week. 36 vessels through the gateway. 77.8% classified High.
The largest single-voyage shift came from MSC ELAINE GN609W (MSCU) at Houston - ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +15.0d from the originally published window.
The cross-port pattern shows up in carrier-service clusters: MSCU/INDUSA recorded 2 of its 3 vessels High this week. MSCU/MEDGULF recorded 2 of 4. The instability is service-shaped, not just port-shaped.
Savannah is on the watch list. If the pattern holds another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate. the watch list is not a verdict - it is a flag that the next gate is being watched.
How to read the publication.
Section 3 (Port Summary) gives the network shape. Section 5 (Per-Port Vessel Tables) lists every vessel that departed - 175 rows total - with original-vs-actual CRW, shift magnitude, late-stage flag, and stability classification. The vessel tables are the unit of truth. Everything else is summary.
Sustained Churn - paired ERD and CY Cut activity persisting through the planning horizon - is the cross-month pattern these weeklies feed into. The mechanism is described in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. The weekly tables show where it surfaced.
A noisy week is workload. A noisy week inside the planning horizon is failure.
Safe-to-Gate Weekly
Sunday 15 March 2026 through Saturday 21 March 2026
Published: Monday 23 March 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-03-15/
1. Weekly Note
This week covers vessel-voyages that departed U.S. export gateways between Sunday 15 March 2026 and Saturday 21 March 2026. Savannah showed the highest share of High classification at 77.8%. Houston held the largest single-voyage shift with MSC ELAINE GN609W at ERD +17.0d and CY Cut +15.0d. Full vessel tables below.
2. Signal, Not Verdict
Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.
3. Port Summary
| Port | Vessels this week | % High | % Late-stage | Dominant direction | Port stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USSAV Savannah | 36 | 77.8% | 77.8% | Mixed | High |
| USLGB Long Beach | 11 | 45.5% | 54.5% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USOAK Oakland | 11 | 27.3% | 27.3% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USLAX Los Angeles | 15 | 26.7% | 46.7% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USORF Norfolk | 38 | 26.3% | 55.3% | Mixed | High |
| USTIW Tacoma | 8 | 25.0% | 12.5% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USHOU Houston | 28 | 21.4% | 35.7% | Mixed | Elevated |
| USEWR Newark | 13 | 15.4% | 30.8% | Late-biased | Elevated |
| USSEA Seattle | 11 | 9.1% | 9.1% | Mixed | Moderate |
| USNYC New York | 4 | 0.0% | 25.0% | Early-biased | Stable |
Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Charleston (USCHS) had zero departures in the week window and is omitted per framework Section 6.
4. Quick Scan Layer
- Savannah: 77.8% late-stage movement across 36 vessels.
- Long Beach: 54.5% late-stage movement across 11 vessels.
- Oakland: 27.3% of vessels classified High across 11 total.
- Los Angeles: 26.7% of vessels classified High across 15 total.
- Norfolk: 55.3% late-stage movement across 38 vessels.
5. Per-Port Vessel Tables
Savannah · USSAV · 36 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO SHANGHAI · 015E · COSU/TA1AL6 | ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14 |
ERD +16.0dCY +15.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| SEABOARD GEMINI · 00049 · SMLU/SMJS | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 3-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +14.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| OOCL KOREA · 056W · COSU/OALP1 | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14 |
ERD +11.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM ENDURANCE · MRKKE · CMDU/TA1AL6 | ERD Feb 28 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| OOCL BANGKOK · 067W · OOLU/OALP2 | ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut Mar 7-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +10.0dCY +10.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE IBIS · 036W · ONEY/PEC2 | ERD Feb 28 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14 |
ERD +9.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| WAN HAI A10 · W012 · WHLC/AA7 | ERD Feb 28 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14 |
ERD +9.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK MEMPHIS · 608E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ZIM SCORPIO · 8W · ZIMU/MEMERALD | ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut Mar 7-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +8.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ONE CONTINUITY · 076W · ONEY/PEC1 | ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +6.0dCY +6.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MOL PROFICIENCY · 252E · ONEY/OAONEAT2 | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +5.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MACKINAC · 044W · ONEY/PEC3 | ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut Mar 7-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +5.0dCY +5.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM ELBE · XRA6W · CMDU/CBX | ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut Mar 7-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MAXIM · 0077 · ONEY/077W | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MAXIM · 0077W · ONEY/WIN | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| TENO · 6205 · HLCU/INDAMEX | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +4.0dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| CMA CGM NILE · XRA8W · CMDU/INDAMEX2 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC DAMLA · UA610 · MSCU/MSCESA1 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC ORNELLA · UF610 · MSCU/MUSWASA | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ETOILE · FE611 · MSCU/MEAGLE | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +2.5dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 611E · HLCU/GTEX | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ANTWERPEN EXPRESS · 610W · HLCU/GTP16US4 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER MAST · 009W · EGLV/OAAUE | ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| SAN FELIX · 612W · MAEU/GTP11US1 | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 19 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| THESEUS · 042W · EGLV/OAAWE4 | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| YM TRAVEL · 025W · YMLU/PEC2 | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK IDAHO · 610E · MAEU/GTEX | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| POLAR MEXICO · 611S · MAEU/NAE ACX | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAGDALENA SCHULTE · RPLDS · CMDU/RTWSB | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC SUAPE VII · NO609 · MSCU/INDUS | ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Moderate |
| MSC ORIANE · MZ610 · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 14 |
ERD +2.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC PASSION III · PH611 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD -2.0dCY -2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM PREGOLIA · RPKUN · CMDU/RTWNB | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK PITTSBURGH · 611E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MAERSK NEWHAVEN · 612S · MAEU/SAE | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 19-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR BRASIL · 612S · MAEU/NAE ACX | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 19-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 19 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Long Beach · USLGB · 11 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMM EMERALD · 0012 · ONEY/013E | ERD Feb 23 | CY Cut Feb 27-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +10.0dCY +14.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE HANGZHOU BAY · 0061 · ONEY/061W | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +8.5dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| COSCO SHIPPING YANGPU · 005 · COSU/PVCS | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD -3.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| HMM EMERALD · 0012W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| SEALAND BALBOA · 612S · MAEU/U8E | ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| OOCL SUNFLOWER · 008 · OOLU/PVCS | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut Mar 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.4d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ANL WARRNAMBOOL · 610 · ANL/PANZ | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COSCO EUROPE · 111W · COSU/UNKN | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC AUDREY · 609S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MARIA SAVERIA · 609S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SM BUSAN · 2601W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Oakland · USOAK · 11 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JANET MARIE · 070W · PHH/UNKN | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +14.0dCY +14.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| EVER MAGIC · 1441-006W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +8.0dCY +8.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE FORWARD · 007W · ONEY/GS2 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.6d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM CALLISTO · 1TUGX · CMDU/CJX | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD -1.0dCY -0.4d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| PRESIDENT CARTER · 0DBNMW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.6d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM DUTCH HARBOR · 0Y1LF · ANL/UNKN | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER MEMO · 1442-010W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HMM AQUAMARINE · 010W · HDM/UNKN | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC LUCIANA · 610S · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Jan 23 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC SOLA · 610S · MSCU/SENTOSA | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| WAN HAI A12 · 009W · WHL/UNKN | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Los Angeles · USLAX · 15 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONE HANGZHOU BAY · 0061 · ONEY/062W | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 2-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +8.5dCY +8.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| HYUNDAI NEPTUNE · 0042 · ONEY/042W | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +7.5dCY +4.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| HMM EMERALD · 0012 · ONEY/012W | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| EVER EAGLE · 0017-194W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM A. LINCOLN · 1TUH5W1MA · CMDU/CJX | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 9 |
ERD +2.0dCY +3.5d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| NYK VESTA · 093W · ONEY/PS3 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD -3.0dCY +1.1d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Mixed | Elevated |
| GUTHORM MAERSK · 612W · MAEU/708 | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| PRESIDENT MONROE · 0DBNSW1PL · APL/EX1 | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| PRESIDENT GRANT · 0DBNQW1PL · APL/EX1 | ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +2.0dCY +2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM FLORIDA · 0GVM3W1MA · CMDU/EXX | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| EVER EAGLE · 0017-194E · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| HTW7 · 1443-021W · EGLV/UNKN | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| NYK VESTA · 0093 · ONEY/093W | ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9-> ERD Dec 4 | CY Cut Dec 9 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HANGZHOU BAY · · HDMU/FP1 | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE HELSINKI · 0FJN4W1MA · CMDU/FUJI | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Norfolk · USORF · 38 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM TRAVEL · 025W · YMLU/EC2 | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +11.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ZIM MOUNT OLYMPUS · 009W · ZIMU/ZCP | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +8.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| CMA CGM ENDURANCE · 0MRKKE1 · CMDU/AMERIGO | ERD Feb 25 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +7.0dCY -3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC ANNABELLA · FD605E · MSCU/DRAGON | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| ZIM MOUNT ELBRUS · 009W · ZIMU/ZCP | ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| HYUNDAI EARTH · 054W · ONEY/EC1 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 20-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +3.0dCY -2.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MAERSK CHICAGO · 610E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 19 |
ERD -1.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Mixed | High |
| ONE MACKINAC · 044W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 19-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +2.0dCY -2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| ONE HAWK · 034W · ONEY/EC3 | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +1.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| SOUTHAMPTON EXPRESS · 611W · HLCU/US4 | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| COSCO SHIPPING AZALEA · 034W · COSU/LP1 | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +7.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| TSINGTAO EXPRESS · 2517W · HLCU/AA7 | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +7.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC NOA · IV604A · MSCU/IND | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC UTMOST VIII · NO610E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +6.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM MAGELLAN · 1TUHVN1 · CMDU/LP3 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| KAAN KALKAVAN · 0USBOE1TK · TRKU/TURKON-USA | ERD Feb 27 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +4.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CORNELIA MAERSK · 609E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC PRELUDE V · MZ611R · MSCU/EMUSA | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC SUAPE VII · NO609E · MSCU/INDX | ERD Feb 24 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Feb 21 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -3.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC FLORENTINA · NO611E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| ONE MAXIM · 077W · ONEY/WIN | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26412N · CCBZ/BAL | ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 14 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| OOCL SEOUL · 118E · COSU/TA2 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| C HAMBURG · GU610E · MSCU/AMERICA | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK IOWA · 609W · MAEU/801 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| EVER MASS · 1343W · EGLV/LP2 | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ALTAMIRA EXPRESS · 611E · HLCU/TEX | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM POINTE NOIRE · 0XRAAW1 · CMDU/CBX | ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD -2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MSC ODESSA V · UA611A · MSCU/MD | ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| KOBE EXPRESS · 612E · HLCU/TEX | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| NAVIOS UNISON · 611W · HLCU/US2 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| SFL HAWAII · 612E · MAEU/TA3 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ATLANTIC SEA · ATE6526 · ACLU/ACL-A | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26412N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CONTI MAKALU · IU605A · MSCU/INDX | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| OOCL TOKYO · 142E · OOLU/AMERIGO | ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 1 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| POLAR BRASIL · 612S · MAEU/NAE | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| TIRUA · 6206 · HLCU/TPI | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Tacoma · USTIW · 8 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMM DRIVE · 0057 · ONEY/057W | ERD Feb 22 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 8 |
ERD +9.0dCY +11.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| YM MASCULINITY · 0104 · ONEY/105E | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +6.0dCY +11.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | High |
| ONE MATRIX · 183 · ONEY/PN3 | ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD -7.0dCY -4.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK SARNIA · 612W · MAEU/WC4 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 15 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| YM WEALTH · 0189 · ONEY/189W | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| ONE MAGDALENA · 0017 · ONEY/017W | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| ONE MATRIX · 0183 · ONEY/183W | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| YM MASCULINITY · 104 · YMLU/UNKN | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Houston · USHOU · 28 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC ELAINE · GN609W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +17.0dCY +15.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC ELAINE · GN609W · MSCU/LONESTAR | ERD Feb 19 | CY Cut Feb 25-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +17.0dCY +15.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC NIOVI VIII · MG610E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +11.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC NIOVI VIII · MG610E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +11.0dCY +9.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | High |
| MSC YOKOHAMA · IV610R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +6.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MSC YOKOHAMA · IV610R · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Feb 26 | CY Cut Mar 4-> ERD Mar 4 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +6.0dCY +7.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Late expansion | High |
| MAERSK PITTSBURGH · 611E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 20-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD -4.0dCY -2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK PITTSBURGH · 611E · MAEU/MECL | ERD Mar 15 | CY Cut Mar 20-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD -4.0dCY -2.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| COLOMBIA EXPRESS · 610E · HLCU/MGX | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +3.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| COLOMBIA EXPRESS · 610E · HLCU/MGX | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +3.0dCY +1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK ATHABASCA · 611W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 9 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MAERSK ATHABASCA · 611W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 9-> ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 9 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MARIANNA I · 611S · MSCU/SCS | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MARIANNA I · 611S · MSCU/SCS | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| MSC ANSHIKA VI · NH611R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MSC ANSHIKA VI · NH611R · MSCU/MEX GULF | ERD Mar 7 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +1.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| MAERSK TENNESSEE · 612E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Moderate |
| MAERSK TENNESSEE · 612E · MAEU/AL2 | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +3.0dCY +3.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Late expansion | Moderate |
| MARIA Y · 612W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| MARIA Y · 612W · MAEU/TP15 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM LA TRAVIATA · 0PGN0W1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| CMA CGM LA TRAVIATA · 0PGN0W1MA · CMDU/PEXIII | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GARDINER · 612S · MSCU/GOX | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| GARDINER · 612S · MSCU/GOX | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC LE HAVRE · MG611E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC LE HAVRE · MG611E · MSCU/MEDGULF | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| OOCL VERACRUZ · 016E · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| OOCL VERACRUZ · 016E · CMDU/VICTORY | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Newark · USEWR · 13 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC NOA · 604A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +2.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MAERSK CHILKA · 611E · MAEU/812 | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | High |
| KOBE EXPRESS · 612E · MAEU/810 | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +1.0dCY +3.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| SEASPAN SAIGON · 612S · MAEU/U7J | ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 16 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| ATLANTIC SUN · 7026 · ACLU/UNKN | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +1.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CCNI ARAUCO · 610W · MAEU/711 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MAERSK NACALA · 611S · MAEU/U7J | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10-> ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 10 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC ANYA V · 608A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC FLORENTINA · 611E · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC MARIANNA · 605A · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SFL HAWAII · 612E · MAEU/UNKN | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| TANGIER EXPRESS · 612W · MAEU/716 | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| WAN HAI A08 · W015 · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
Seattle · USSEA · 11 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMA CGM POINTE DU PITON · 0TNUI · CMDU/CPNW | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 13 |
ERD +1.0dCY +8.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | High |
| MSC ELIANA · 611R · MSCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 9 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +2.0dCY +0.0d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Compressed | Elevated |
| APL CHONGQING · 0TNHW · APL/UNKN | ERD Mar 20 | CY Cut n/a-> ERD Mar 23 | CY Cut n/a |
ERD +3.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CAPE KORTIA · 612R · EGL/UNKN | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 11 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD -1.0dCY -1.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| OOCL NEW YORK · 117W · OOLU/UNKN | ERD Mar 6 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 5 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD -1.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM OTELLO · 0TNUH · CMDU/CPNW | ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 5-> ERD Mar 2 | CY Cut Mar 5 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| LAUTOKA CHIEF · 008W · WSL/UNKN | ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 6-> ERD Mar 3 | CY Cut Mar 6 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC BOSTON · 612R · MSCU/CHINOOK | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SEASPAN HAMBURG · 612S · HLCU/UNKN | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 17 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SM SEOUL · 2602W · SMC/UNKN | ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 12-> ERD Mar 10 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| SUVA CHIEF · 003W · QWJ/UNKN | ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 13 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
New York · USNYC · 4 vessels this week
| Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service | CRW (Original -> Actual) | Shift | Late? | Outcome | Stability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMA CGM WHITE · 612E/W · CMDU/AMERXL | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 18 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.3d |
Yes (inside 24h) | Moderate drift | Elevated |
| CMA CGM HOMERE · 612E/W · CMDU/CAGML | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 13-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 12 |
ERD +0.0dCY -0.7d |
No (outside 72h) | Moderate drift | Moderate |
| CMA CGM MAGELLAN · 1TUHVN · CMDU/COLUMBUS | ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 11-> ERD Mar 8 | CY Cut Mar 11 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
| MSC Marianna · IV605A · MSCU/INDUSA | ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16-> ERD Mar 12 | CY Cut Mar 16 |
ERD +0.0dCY +0.0d |
No (outside 72h) | Stable | Stable |
Every vessel measured, not just the outliers. Original vs actual CRW shown for each. Observed columns: vessel identity, Original and Actual CRW, shifts, late-stage flag. Derived: Outcome and Stability label. See Appendix A.
6. Weekly Signal Flags
- MSCU/INDUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 3 vessels this week classified High.
- MSCU/MEDGULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 4 vessels this week classified High.
7. Ports to Watch
Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 77.8% of vessels classified High, 77.8% showed late-stage movement across 36 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.
8. Close
Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly, see the ladder below for how weekly detection feeds monthly diagnosis. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 22 March 2026. For monthly context, see the March 2026 VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.
Appendix A
Stability classification thresholds and late-stage flag definition carry forward each week from the Safe-to-Gate Weekly framework (v1.1). See the framework document for the full methodology reference.
Explore Related Intelligence
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Frey Commodities
Frey Commodities
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