THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of May 23, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published May 25, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 17 May 2026 through Saturday 23 May 2026

Published: Monday 25 May 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-05-17/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 17 May 2026 and Saturday 23 May 2026, 186 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 75.0% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 72.5% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was MAERSK SENANG 617E at Houston: ERD +22.0d and CY Cut +23.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 40 75.0% 72.5% Mixed High
USHOU Houston 30 40.0% 46.7% Mixed High
USOAK Oakland 12 33.3% 50.0% Late-biased High
USLAX Los Angeles 13 30.8% 23.1% Mixed High
USLGB Long Beach 11 27.3% 36.4% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 36 19.4% 30.6% Mixed Elevated
USTIW Tacoma 6 16.7% 16.7% Mixed Elevated
USSEA Seattle 8 12.5% 25.0% Mixed Moderate
USNYC New York 10 10.0% 30.0% Early-biased Moderate
USEWR Newark 20 5.0% 25.0% Mixed Stable

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • Savannah: 72.5% late-stage movement across 40 vessels.
  • Oakland: 50.0% late-stage movement across 12 vessels.
  • Houston: 46.7% late-stage movement across 30 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 36.4% late-stage movement across 11 vessels.
  • Norfolk: 30.6% late-stage movement across 36 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 40 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC JASMINE X · IV614 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD May 2 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 16 | CY Cut May 22
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC RIKKU · GE618 · MSCU/ADHOC ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
SEABOARD GLOBE · 00078 · SMLU/SMJS ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
ONE MADRID · 029W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD Apr 27 | CY Cut May 2
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +13.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC GUERNSEY V · UF619 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 9
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +12.0d
CY +11.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC GABON · NO618 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD May 2 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +10.0d
CY +10.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC ROCHELLE · UA620 · MSCU/INDUS ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD -10.0d
CY -9.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC SOFIA CELESTE · IV613 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD May 2 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +8.0d
CY +8.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC VERACRUZ V · IU619 · MSCU/INDUS ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 11
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +8.0d
CY +8.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
WAN HAI A18 · W005 · WHLC/AA7 ERD May 2 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
ONE SATISFACTION · 002E · ONEY/OAONEAT1 ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 9
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +4.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
GREENVILLE · FE620 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
GSL ELENI · 619E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM MEXICO · TUIRN · CMDU/OAAWE3 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD -2.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
WAN HAI A13 · W009 · WHLC/AA7 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER FULL · 019W · EGLV/OAAWE4 ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Moderate
EVER MAGI · 012W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK SELETAR · 619E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MH PEGASUS · XRAQW · CMDU/CBX ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD -1.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
COSCO SHIPPING ORCHID · 033W · COSU/OALP1 ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK TAIKUNG · 621W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC ORIANE · MZ619 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC TIANJIN · MZ610 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
VALUE · MG616 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
X-PRESS ANTLIA · 016E · COSU/EMA ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
YANTIAN EXPRESS · 620E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC VANCOUVER · UA618 · MSCU/MSCESA1 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 16
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM BLUE · RPLCN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC PASSION III · PH620 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
NILEDUTCH LION · 6214 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
AMSTERDAM EXPRESS · 620E · HLCU/GTEX ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
BASLE EXPRESS · 619W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
BERNHARD SCHULTE · 271E · COSU/EMA ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM CONGO · INU3E · CMDU/INDAMEX2 ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC NERISSA V · UF619 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM LOUGA · RPLWS · CMDU/RTWSB ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAGDALENA SCHULTE · RPLEN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAX SCHULTE · 621S · MAEU/SAE ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR BRASIL · 621S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM MOUNT EVEREST · 13W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 16
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 30 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MAERSK SENANG · 617E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +22.0d
CY +23.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MAERSK SENANG · 617E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 15 | CY Cut Apr 21
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +22.0d
CY +23.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC ARICA · IV620R · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +11.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC ARICA · IV620R · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD Apr 26 | CY Cut Apr 30
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +11.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MAERSK DENVER · 618E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
MAERSK DENVER · 618E · MAEU/MECL ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +11.0d
CY +10.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
SANTA LINEA · GN621W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +7.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
SANTA LINEA · GN621W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +7.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed High
COLOMBIA EXPRESS · 619E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
COLOMBIA EXPRESS · 619E · HLCU/MGX ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
HERMANN SCHULTE · NH619R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
HERMANN SCHULTE · NH619R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 7
-> ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC RIDA · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC RIDA · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC RIDA VIII · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC RIDA VIII · GN618W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +3.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion Elevated
CONTI CONTESSA · 024W · ONEY/EC4 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD -2.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CONTI CONTESSA · 024W · ONEY/EC4 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD -2.0d
CY -4.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK KANSAS · 621E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK KANSAS · 621E · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM LEGACY · 0PGNIW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM LEGACY · 0PGNIW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK SAIGON · 621W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK SAIGON · 621W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
A OBELIX · 0YKD4S1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
A OBELIX · 0YKD4S1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CARDIFF · 0GBFQS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CARDIFF · 0GBFQS1MA · MAEU/BRAZEX ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK CHACHAI · 620S · MAEU/SCS ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK CHACHAI · 620S · MAEU/SCS ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 12 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EVER LASTING · 1215-092W · EGLV/CPS ERD Apr 23 | CY Cut Apr 28
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +18.0d
CY +16.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed High
YM Uniformity · 083W · YMLU/PS4 ERD Apr 24 | CY Cut Apr 29
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +17.0d
CY +16.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion High
GEORGE III · 099W · HLCU/ ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 6
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
EVER LEADING · 1217-083W · EGLV/ ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +8.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
HMM AQUAMARINE · 011W · HDMU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
EVER MAGIC · 1451-007W · EGLV/HTW ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
GUNHILDE MAERSK · 621W · MAEU/708 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
PRESIDENT CARTER · 0DBO8 · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM J. MADISON · 1TUHX · CMDU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HYUNDAI NEPTUNE · 043W · HDMU/ ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LONG BEACH EXPRESS · 620S · HLCU/PANZ ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC LORENZA · FV620S · MSCU/ ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 13 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM NEW JERSEY · 0GVMLW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +11.0d
CY -0.3d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
APL QINGDAO · 0P50TW1MA · CMDU/LP1 ERD May 1 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +11.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
ONE OLYMPUS · 0080 · ONEY/080W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 12
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
PRESIDENT LB JOHNSON · 0DBOAW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD -7.0d
CY -7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
NYK DEMETER · 123E · ONEY/AL5 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
EVER LEADING · 1217-083W · EGLV/ ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
COCHRANE · 617W · MAEU/712 ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
DELAWARE EXPRESS · 620W · MAEU/707 ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 11
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HYUNDAI NEPTUNE · 0043 · HDMU, ONEY, YMLU/044E ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 12
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE REASSURANCE · · ONEY/PS1 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM UNANIMITY · 085W · YMLU/PS3 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM UPWARD · 0100 · ONEY/100W ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
-> ERD Apr 2 | CY Cut Apr 7
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ZIM EAGLE · 019W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 11 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
COSCO OCEANIA · 113W · COSU/ ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
XIN FEI ZHOU · 109 · COSU/PSX ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL BRUSSELS · 069 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 4 | CY Cut May 11
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK OLYMPIC · 621S · MAEU/ ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC DARLENE · 621S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 11
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC UBERTY VIII · 620S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 12
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
OOCL ROTTERDAM · 163 · OOLU/PSX ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.4d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ATHOS · 619R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
COSCO SHIPPING JASMINE · 038W · COSU/ ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
LONG BEACH EXPRESS · 620 · HLCU/PANZ ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC GAYANE · 615A · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 36 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
EVER MERCY · 1352W · EGLV/LP2 ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +11.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC BERANGERE · FD616E · MSCU/DRAGON ERD May 6 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +9.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
ZIM MOUNT FUJI · 010W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD May 6 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
GSL ELENI · 619E · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 3 | CY Cut May 8
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +7.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
GSL C ELISABETH · 620E · MAEU/TA3 ERD May 5 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
COSCO HOPE · 075E · OOLU/TA2 ERD May 5 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL SEOUL · 119E · OOLU/AMERIGO ERD May 10 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
WAN HAI A13 · W009 · WHLC/AA7 ERD May 3 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +5.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC JUBILEE IX · GU620E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 9 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -3.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
COSCO SHIPPING LOTUS · 032W · COSU/LP1 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +3.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK SENANG · 618E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 12
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
STEPHANIE C · 6215 · HLCU/TPI ERD May 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
YM TRANQUILITY · 019W · YMLU/EC1 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.8d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC BARCELONA · UA620A · MSCU/MD ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
APL HOUSTON · 0XRASW1 · CMDU/TA2 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 20
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC ANISHA R. · NN619A · MSCU/BLT ERD May 13 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC DOMNA X · NO620E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD May 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL SEOUL · 119E · COSU/TA2 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ATLANTIC SKY · ATK7026 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD May 10 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM FIDELIO · 0LBM8E1 · CMDU/CBX ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
AL SAFAT · 619E · HLCU/AL3 ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 12
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK IOWA · 620E · MAEU/801 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
ONE MONACO · 030W · ONEY/EC3 ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
PORTO CHELI · 620E · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
BERNHARD SCHULTE · 271E · COSU/AL8 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
LUDWIGSHAFEN EXPRESS · 620W · HLCU/US4 ERD May 9 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC GABON · NO619E · MSCU/NEUSEC2 ERD May 5 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 6 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC JASMINE X · 614E · VIT/IND ERD May 11 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
SEOUL EXPRESS · 621E · HLCU/TEX ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26421N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26421N · CCBZ/BAL ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
GJERTRUD MAERSK · 620W · MAEU/US2 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK GARONNE · 618W · MAEU/801 ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 9 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ROCHELLE · IU620R · MSCU/INDX ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR BRASIL · 621S · MAEU/NAE ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YANTIAN EXPRESS · 620E · HLCU/AL3 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
KOSTAS K · 623W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +8.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
FRANKFURT EXPRESS · 622W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +1.0d
CY -0.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
SEASPAN AMAZON · 621W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
YM COSMOS · 189 · YMLU/PN1 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM MUTUALITY · 112 · YMLU/PN3 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM TUTORIAL · 0020 · YMLU/020W ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 8 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC SOLA · 619R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD Apr 29 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD May 5 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +6.0d
CY +9.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
XIN DAN DONG · 561W · CHN/ ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 13
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
APL CHONGQING · 0TNIE · CMDU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
EXPRESS ATHENS · UK620R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 8 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ANTIGUA · 621R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
OOCL SEATTLE · 042W · OOLU/PNW1 ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SM PORTLAND · 2603W · SMC/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WESTWOOD COLUMBIA · 154W · WWS/ ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 10 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM ARGENTINA · 1TUIZN1 · CMDU/COLUMBUS ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 17
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.7d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM BALBOA · 619E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM HOMERE · 621E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM FIDELIO · 0LBM8E1 · CMDU/LIBERTY BRIDGE ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM ALIAGA · 621E/W · CMDU/ANERXL ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM AMBITION · 620E/W · CMDU/AMRGO ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 17 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM GANGES · 620E/W · CMDU/INDAMEX ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.3d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
Cosco Shipping Lotus · 032W · COSU/ ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC Jasmine X · IV614A · MSCU/INDUSA ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
YM TRANQUILITY · 019 · YMLU/EC1 ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 10 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 20 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC TOMOKO · 615A · MSCU/ ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MANZANILLO BRIDGE · GE620W · MSCU/ ERD May 7 | CY Cut May 12
-> ERD May 6 | CY Cut May 12
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC BARCELONA · 620A · MSCU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC BERANGERE · 617E · MSCU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC ORNELLA · 621A · MSCU/ ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MSC KRYSTAL · 619R · MSCU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
POLAR ECUADOR · 618W · MAEU/84W ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ATLANTIC SEA · 6926 · ACLU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTE LINZOR · 618S · MAEU/84D ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 621E · MAEU/812 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SINGAPORE · 619W · MAEU/711 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MELCHIOR SCHULTE · 0USCAE1TK · HLCU/AL5 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ARCHIMIDIS VIII · 618E · MSCU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC BRIDGEPORT · 621E · MSCU/ ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC DOMNA X · 620E · MSCU/ ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 14
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MUMBAI VIII · 621W · MSCU/ ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE MAGNIFICENCE · 084W · ONEY/ ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 20
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
PORTO CHELI · 620E · MAEU/812 ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
-> ERD May 11 | CY Cut May 13
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SEOUL EXPRESS · 621E · MAEU/810 ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
-> ERD May 12 | CY Cut May 15
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TUBUL · 2509W · HLCU/AL5 ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
-> ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 18
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MAEU/MECL: 5 of this carrier-service's 6 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/MEDGULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/MEX GULF: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MAEU/TP15: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUS2: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 75.0% of vessels classified High and 72.5% showed late-stage movement across 40 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

Oakland (USOAK) warrants extra buffer this week. 33.3% of vessels classified High and 50.0% showed late-stage movement across 12 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 24 May 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.