THE LOADED BOX · SAFE-TO-GATE WEEKLY EDITION

Safe-to-Gate Weekly - Week of June 6, 2026

Vessel-level signals from the past seven days: where schedules moved, which ports warrant extra buffer, and what the week ahead likely holds.

Published June 8, 2026 · Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1

Safe-to-Gate Weekly

Sunday 31 May 2026 through Saturday 6 June 2026

Published: Monday 8 June 2026 URL: /loaded-box/weekly/2026-05-31/ Framework TradeLanes Safe-to-Gate Weekly v1.1 · Data baseline 2026-07-08 (100%-coverage mart) · Status Operator-facing


1. Weekly Note

Between Sunday 31 May 2026 and Saturday 6 June 2026, 166 vessel-voyages left U.S. export gateways. Most held their shape through the week; a share did not. Savannah ran the least settled - 56.1% of its vessels sat in the High band, and 58.5% were still moving inside the late-stage window. The single widest move was ONE MAGNIFICENCE 0084W at Savannah: ERD +25.0d and CY Cut +25.0d, the whole cargo receiving window shifting as a unit. Every vessel that departed is listed below with its observed ERD and CY Cut shift.


2. Signal, Not Verdict

Safe-to-Gate Weekly surfaces motion, not conclusions. Every vessel that departed this week is listed below with observed ERD and CY Cut shifts, a late-stage flag, and a stability classification. These are observational. Whether this week's pattern reflects structural instability requires monthly context, see the VSSI Monthly for measurement, the Safe-to-Gate Monthly for diagnosis.


3. Port Summary

Port Vessels this week % High % Late-stage Dominant direction Port stability
USSAV Savannah 41 56.1% 58.5% Mixed High
USNYC New York 6 33.3% 66.7% Early-biased High
USTIW Tacoma 4 25.0% 50.0% Late-biased Elevated
USLAX Los Angeles 12 25.0% 16.7% Mixed Elevated
USOAK Oakland 13 23.1% 53.8% Mixed Elevated
USLGB Long Beach 13 15.4% 38.5% Mixed Elevated
USORF Norfolk 34 14.7% 23.5% Mixed Elevated
USHOU Houston 26 7.7% 23.1% Mixed High
USSEA Seattle 5 0.0% 20.0% Late-biased Stable
USEWR Newark 12 0.0% 16.7% Mixed Stable

Covered ports: 10 U.S. export gateways. Ports with zero departures in the week window are omitted per framework Section 6.


4. Quick Scan Layer

  • New York: 66.7% late-stage movement across 6 vessels.
  • Savannah: 58.5% late-stage movement across 41 vessels.
  • Oakland: 53.8% late-stage movement across 13 vessels.
  • Tacoma: 50.0% late-stage movement across 4 vessels.
  • Long Beach: 38.5% late-stage movement across 13 vessels.

5. Per-Port Vessel Tables

Savannah · USSAV · 41 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ONE MAGNIFICENCE · 0084W · ONEY/WIN ERD Apr 28 | CY Cut May 4
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +25.0d
CY +25.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
MSC RACHELE · IV615 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD Jun 11 | CY Cut Jun 17
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD -19.0d
CY -19.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM ASIA · 60E · ZIMU/ZCA ERD May 13 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +15.0d
CY +15.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
KLEVEN · IV616 · MSCU/INDUS2 ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
ZIM ARIES · 10W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC CAPUCINE R · FE621 · MSCU/MEAGLE ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +6.0d
CY +7.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MSC BREMEN · UA621 · MSCU/MSCESA1 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +4.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM AMBITION · MRL6E · CMDU/TA1AL6 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +5.0d
CY +5.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Elevated
MUKADDES KALKAVAN · USC4E · TRKU/TURKON ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +4.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC CANDICE · MZ621 · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Late expansion High
OOCL IRIS · 006W · OOLU/OALP2 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 23
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +3.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
CMA CGM LITANI · XRAUW · CMDU/CBX ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
ERD -3.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC BRIDGEPORT · NO614 · MSCU/MNEUSEC2 ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC PASSION III · PH623 · MSCU/PHILLYEXP ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 6
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD -3.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ONE MILANO · 032W · ONEY/PEC3 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
NORDAMELIA · RPLIN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +3.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Late expansion Moderate
HYUNDAI SATURN · 052W · ONEY/PEC1 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +2.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
APL ANTWERP · INMEE · CMDU/INDAMEX2 ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC COTE DIVOIRE · MG619 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD May 30 | CY Cut Jun 5
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -2.0d
CY -2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
ZIM MOUNT OLYMPUS · 10W · ZIMU/MZCP ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +2.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC CADIZ · MG618 · MSCU/MMEDGULF ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TUBUL · 2509W · HLCU/AA7 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ROME EXPRESS · 621W · HLCU/GTP16US4 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CCNI ARAUCO · 623W · MAEU/GTP11US1 ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
TOLEDO TRIUMPH · 039W · EGLV/OAAUE ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MARIANNE SCHULTE · RPM0S · CMDU/RTWSB ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ONE HAMMERSMITH · 089E · ONEY/OAONEAT1 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM LAPIS · UB9CE · CMDU/EMA ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
LONDON EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/GTEX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK HARTFORD · 620E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM CALLISTO · TUJ3N · CMDU/OAAWE3 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER FOCUS · 028W · EGLV/OAAWE4 ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
SUAPE EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/GTA2AL3 ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
ZIM ALEXANDRITE · 6W · ZIMU/MEMERALD ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM GREEN · RPLHN · CMDU/RTWNB ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SEMBAWANG · 621E · MAEU/GTA12AL6 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARGARETE SCHULTE · 623S · MAEU/SAE ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ANISHA R. · UF622 · MSCU/MUSWASA ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC TAVVISHI VI · IU622 · MSCU/INDUS ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 623S · MAEU/NAE ACX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 4
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
TENO · 6216 · HLCU/INDAMEX ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 30
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

New York · USNYC · 6 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM BALBOA · 621E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM LAPIS · 622E/W · CMDU/TUX ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM SURABAYA · 622E/W · CMDU/CAGML ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.7d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
Cosco Shipping Azalea · 035W · COSU/ ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
OOCL Korea · 057W · OOLU/ECX1 ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
CMA CGM INNOVATION · 622E/W · CMDU/AMRGO ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Tacoma · USTIW · 4 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
BUDAPEST EXPRESS · 624W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 5
ERD +7.0d
CY +7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
EVER SIGMA · 0475-141W · EGLV/ANP ERD May 20 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +6.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
YM PLUM · 0194 · YMLU/194W ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
KOSTAS K · 623W · MAEU/WC4 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Los Angeles · USLAX · 12 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CMA CGM T JEFFERSON · 1TUI9W1MA · CMDU/LP3 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +11.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
CMA CGM VIRGINIA · 0GVMPW1MA · CMDU/EXX ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +11.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed High
PRESIDENT REAGAN · 0DBOEW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD Jun 4 | CY Cut Jun 9
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD -7.0d
CY -7.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
EVER LEADER · 0019-079W · EGLV/ ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +2.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
HAWK I · 013W · ZIMU/ZX2 ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
HUDSON EXPRESS · 622W · MAEU/707 ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK ALFIRK · 622W · MAEU/706 ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.1d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CAUQUENES · 623W · MAEU/706 ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CMA CGM SYRACUSE · 0P511W1MA · CMDU/PEARLAS1 ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
ONE HONOLULU · 0230 · ONEY/230W ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
-> ERD Apr 30 | CY Cut May 5
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
RUBY TOWER · 004W · ONEY/PS3 ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI A19 · · HDMU/PS7 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Oakland · USOAK · 13 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
GEORGE III · 100W · HLCU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 20
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +14.0d
CY +14.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
MSC ILARIA · FV622S · MSCU/ ERD May 14 | CY Cut May 19
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +8.0d
CY +9.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Late expansion High
EVER MEMO · 1453-011W · EGLV/ ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +5.5d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
EVER LAUREL · 1219-076W · EGLV/ ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +5.0d
CY +2.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC BEATRICE · 623S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY -3.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
EVER LEADER · 0019-079W · EGLV/ ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY -2.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM BRAZIL · 1TUI5 · CMDU/CJX ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
GERNER MAERSK · 623W · MAEU/708 ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.6d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
SAPPHIRE TOWER · 003W · HDMU/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
ERD -0.5d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
PRESIDENT BUSH · 0DBOCW1MA · CMDU/EX1APL ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY -0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM DUTCH HARBOR · 0Y1M1 · ANL/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
HMM NURI · 019W · HDMU/ ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
WAN HAI A19 · 006W · WHLC/ ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Long Beach · USLGB · 13 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC BEATRICE · 623S · MSCU/SENTOSA ERD May 19 | CY Cut May 25
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
ERD -1.0d
CY -3.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CSCL YELLOW SEA · 070 · COSU/AAC ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL BERLIN · 058 · OOLU/PCC1 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 25
ERD +0.0d
CY +3.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OOCL EUROPE · 212 · OOLU/PSX ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD -2.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OOCL VIOLET · 009 · OOLU/PVCS ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.2d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC DOMITILLE · 622S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +1.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC SENEGAL · 623S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MAERSK SEQUOIA · 623S · MAEU/U8E ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.4d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC GABRIELLA · 621R · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.1d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
CSCL AUTUMN · 072W · COSU/ ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 26
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ADONIS · 617A · MSCU/CALIFORNIA EXPRESS ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC BEATRICE · FV623S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC DOMITILLE · GO622S · MSCU/ORIENT SERVICE ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
-> ERD May 15 | CY Cut May 21
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Norfolk · USORF · 34 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
ZIM ASIA · 060E · ZIMU/AL7 ERD May 12 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +13.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
HMM VICTORY · 059W · HDMU/EC2 ERD May 17 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +10.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
GREENLAND · IV617A · MSCU/IND ERD May 22 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 31 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +9.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift High
MSC LAURA · MZ622R · MSCU/EMUSA ERD May 19 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +8.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MAERSK ATLANTA · 620E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 19 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +7.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC LISBON · GU622E · MSCU/AMERICA ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +6.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
CMA CGM INNOVATION · 0MRLAE1 · CMDU/AMERIGO ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +2.0d
CY +5.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
HYUNDAI SATURN · 052W · HDMU/EC1 ERD May 21 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +2.0d
CY -5.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Compressed Elevated
EVER MEGA · 009E · EGLV/TA2 ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC CALYPSO · FD619E · MSCU/DRAGON ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +4.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
KLEVEN · IV616A · MSCU/IND ERD May 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
TIRUA · 6217 · HLCU/TPI ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +3.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
AL QIBLA EXPRESS · 622W · HLCU/US4 ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ATLANTIC SUN · ASU7426 · ACLU/ACL-A ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +2.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MAERSK SELETAR · 621E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 72h) Moderate drift High
SAN FRANCISCO BRIDGE · 085W · ONEY/WIN ERD May 29 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -1.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
OOCL KOREA · 057W · COSU/LP1 ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
APL ANTWERP · 0INMEE1 · CMDU/EIS ERD May 23 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 29
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM LAPIS · 0UB9CE1 · CMDU/AL8 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 29
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
EVER MAGNA · 1354W · EGLV/LP2 ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD -1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OSAKA EXPRESS · 622W · HLCU/US2 ERD May 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
ZIM MOUNT VINSON · 010W · ZIMU/ZCP ERD May 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
MSC VIDISHA R · NN621A · MSCU/BLT ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
ONE FALCON · 032W · ONEY/EC3 ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26422N · COLUMBIA COASTAL/BARGE ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 21 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
COLUMBIA FREEDOM · 26423N · CCBZ/BAL ERD May 29 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 29 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK FREDERICIA · 623E · MAEU/TA3 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK GARONNE · 622E · MAEU/801 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTANA · 620W · MAEU/801 ERD May 23 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 23 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK SERANGOON · 622E · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MARIANNA I · IU622R · MSCU/INDX ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
POLAR MEXICO · 623S · MAEU/NAE ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SUAPE EXPRESS · 622E · HLCU/AL3 ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
VANCOUVER STAR · 623E · HLCU/TEX ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Houston · USHOU · 26 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
CORNEILLE · 012W · ONEY/EC4 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +7.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CORNEILLE · 012W · ONEY/EC4 ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +7.0d
CY +6.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC GREENWICH · GN622W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
MSC GREENWICH · GN622W · MSCU/LONESTAR ERD May 18 | CY Cut May 22
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +2.0d
CY +6.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift High
XIN YA ZHOU · 175W · COSU/GME ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +4.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
XIN YA ZHOU · 175W · COSU/GME ERD May 21 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +4.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
APL CALIFORNIA · 0VBMOE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -3.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
APL CALIFORNIA · 0VBMOE1MA · CMDU/VICTORY ERD May 31 | CY Cut Jun 4
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD -3.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
CMA CGM ALMAVIVA · 0PGNMW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
CMA CGM ALMAVIVA · 0PGNMW1MA · CMDU/PEXIII ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
HENRIKA SCHULTE · NH622R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
HENRIKA SCHULTE · NH622R · MSCU/MEX GULF ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 62EE · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK COLUMBUS · 62EE · MAEU/AL2 ERD May 24 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +1.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK HARTFORD · 620E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MAERSK HARTFORD · 620E · MAEU/MECL ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
No (outside 72h) Compressed Elevated
MSC TIANJIN · MG622E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC TIANJIN · MG622E · MSCU/MEDGULF ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
AIAS · 0YKD8S1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
AIAS · 0YKD8S1MA · CMDU/YUKA ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK ATHABASCA · 623W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK ATHABASCA · 623W · MAEU/TP15 ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK NEW DELHI · 623S · MSCU/GOX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK NEW DELHI · 623S · MSCU/GOX ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK PANGANI · 622S · MAEU/SCS ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK PANGANI · 622S · MAEU/SCS ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Seattle · USSEA · 5 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC PINA · 623R · MSCU/CHINOOK ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 27 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +1.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MH PERSEUS · 0TNII · CMDU/CPNW ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +1.0d
No (outside 72h) Moderate drift Moderate
OOCL OAKLAND · 141W · OOLU/PNW1 ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
-> ERD May 20 | CY Cut May 27
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SM SEOUL · 2604W · SMC/ ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 3
-> ERD Jun 1 | CY Cut Jun 3
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SUVA CHIEF · 005W · QWJ/ ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
-> ERD Jun 3 | CY Cut n/a
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

Newark · USEWR · 12 vessels this week

Vessel · Voyage · Carrier/Service CRW (Original -> Actual) Shift Late? Outcome Stability
MSC ODESSA V · 622A · MSCU/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +4.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Moderate drift Elevated
MSC CALYPSO · 619E · MSCU/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY -1.0d
Yes (inside 24h) Compressed Elevated
ATLANTIC SAIL · 6526 · ACLU/ ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 1
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 1
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK MONTE PASCOAL · 620S · MAEU/84D ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MAERSK TAIKUNG · 621W · MAEU/AL6 ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 25 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC DENISSE X · 623E · MSCU/ ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC ILLINOIS VII · 622W · MSCU/ ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC LAURA · 623R · MSCU/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC MAEVA · 622E · MSCU/ ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
-> ERD May 22 | CY Cut May 28
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC TOPAZ · 620E · MSCU/ ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
MSC VERACRUZ V · 621R · MSCU/ ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
-> ERD May 26 | CY Cut May 29
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable
SAN FRANCISCO BRIDGE · 086W · ONEY/ ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
-> ERD May 28 | CY Cut Jun 2
ERD +0.0d
CY +0.0d
No (outside 72h) Stable Stable

6. Weekly Signal Flags

  • MSCU/LONESTAR: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/EMUSA: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.
  • MSCU/INDUS2: 2 of this carrier-service's 2 vessels this week classified High.

7. Ports to Watch

Savannah (USSAV) warrants extra buffer this week. 56.1% of vessels classified High and 58.5% showed late-stage movement across 41 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.

New York (USNYC) warrants extra buffer this week. 33.3% of vessels classified High and 66.7% showed late-stage movement across 6 vessels. If the pattern holds for another week, the port carries into this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly as a structural candidate.


8. Close

Full methodology in Appendix A. Vessels flagged this week on the watch list will be evaluated in this month's Safe-to-Gate Monthly. Next Safe-to-Gate Weekly: Sunday 7 June 2026. For monthly context, see the current-month VSSI Monthly and Safe-to-Gate Monthly.


Appendix A

Stability classification thresholds and the late-stage flag definition are maintained internally and held consistent across publications. They live in the internal methodology appendix and are not published.